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the interest is up and the stock market's down...


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What is going on with this economy?  I could have told you just from the boots on the ground report that something is up but it's more than that:

 

 

oil is tanking

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-20/oil-heads-for-longest-weekly-losing-streak-since-1986-amid-glut

 

 

The DOW has lost nearly 1,000 points in the past few days, 300 today alone:

http://www.wsj.com/articles/global-stocks-continue-to-fall-on-china-worries-1440144990

 

 

currencies are falling all around the world

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_WORLD_ECONOMY_CURRENCY_CHAOS?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2015-08-21-13-06-16

 

 

steep drop in factory orders in general, lowest activity in 6 years

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/17/new-york-state-factory-activity-tumbles-to-lowest-since-2009-ny-fed.html

 

 

debt is at a record high, which is good or bad, depending on who you ask

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/08/10/us-consumer-borrowing-hits-another-record-in-june.html

 

 

Chinese stocks are being devastated, still losing over 4% a day

http://www.bbc.com/news/business-34013405

 

 

7 million Americans haven't made a student loan payment in a year, may be unrelated to this other stuff but that's an insane number

http://www.wsj.com/articles/about-7-million-americans-havent-paid-federal-student-loans-in-at-least-a-year-1440175645

 

 

 

some are even saying China is even waging economic war

http://www.glennbeck.com/2015/08/20/glenn-says-this-video-about-china-will-send-a-chill-up-your-spine/

 

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/13/upshot/the-more-chinas-currency-falls-the-more-it-looks-like-a-currency-war.html?ref=economy&_r=0&abt=0002&abg=0

 

 

 

apparently we're in the middle of a massive commidity bubble that is bursting

http://www.newsmax.com/Finance/StreetTalk/Ed-Yardeni-commodity-bubble-economy/2015/08/20/id/671053/

 

 

 

opinions?  

Edited by MetropolisLakeOutfitters
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In 1980 at the ripe old age of 17 years I paid 18% interest to buy a Trans Am car and I shopped around to get that low price. Just as crazy, fixed rate CDs were paying 9.95% to walk in customers back then. So back then I borrowed at the wrong time. Now I'm trying to save. You got it, wrong time again.    

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.....and you're goin to get mugged if you go down town.......I live back in the woods ya see, my woman and my kids and my dogs and me.....

 

 

The stock market has defied many other economic indicators for the past couple years or more....I'm afraid we are seeing some normalizing take place.

 

Hogfan

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Technically speaking "Investors are selling".

JJK

 

They sold another 140 points off the DOW just since I started typing this.  Momentarily dropped over 500 just today, that would have put it in about the top 10 worst 1 day losses of all time had that stuck.  

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No rate hike, moar QE?

 

I'm actually quite glad for any market correction.  It is long overdue.  I'll wait until the streets are flowing with blood before committing, but I've got my shopping list and the sales are about to begin!

Started nibbling this afternoon....Apple @107  Corning @16.96 

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In 1980 at the ripe old age of 17 years I paid 18% interest to buy a Trans Am car and I shopped around to get that low price. Just as crazy, fixed rate CDs were paying 9.95% to walk in customers back then. So back then I borrowed at the wrong time. Now I'm trying to save. You got it, wrong time again.  

 ah, i remember those days…yes, the misery index was high; but, i was doing alright.  Has some CDs in 1979-1980 I made a killing off the interest.   

Edited by BigStewMan
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It corrects periodically.  Each time it does, "it's different".  It will go back up after a few days, weeks, months.  Predictions of imminent doom and destruction of the market (& the dollar) will continue. 

 

Google "stock market crash and/or dollar crash", then change the year behind the search and you will find a myriad of "they've never been wrong" predictions showing that in each respective year each institution will find it's ultimate demise.  The noodles continue to be thrown against the wall by the person/organization selling you the "real scoop".  The dollar is dying so send us some of your soon to be worthless dollars and we'll tell you why to panic.

 

Wait... why do you want my money if it's going to be worthless?... :ph34r:

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Glad I just singed my refinance yesterday at 3.2%.

 

 

And I thought I was doing fairly well when I locked in a 16% mortgage loan rate and the rates proceeded to hit ~ 18.5% during 1981 for a mortgage loan. :o

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Glad I just singed my refinance yesterday at 3.2%.

 

 

And I thought I was doing fairly well when I locked in a 16% mortgage loan rate and the rates proceeded to hit ~ 18.5% during 1981 for a mortgage loan. :o

 

i wasn’t financing anything during those years; but, looking back i feel sorry for all those that had to endure that.  

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Glad I just singed my refinance yesterday at 3.2%.

 

 

And I thought I was doing fairly well when I locked in a 16% mortgage loan rate and the rates proceeded to hit ~ 18.5% during 1981 for a mortgage loan. :o

 

i wasn’t financing anything during those years; but, looking back i feel sorry for all those that had to endure that.  

 

 

 

 

Fortunately this trend of high rates changed.  At the 18% interest rate over the traditional 30 year mortgage period the total of the payments would have resulted in about 82% of the total payments going toward interest and about 18% for the actual house purchase.

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The Chinese economy, after growing at a fast clip for 15 years, has slowed significantly. American companies who export rely on all retail growth from China. Apple for instance, relies on growth out of China. When the growth stops, the stocks begin to be shorted. China is reportedly 30% of Apple revenue. Apple is the highest valued company in the world. 

 

Its a good time to buy stocks in quality companies. 

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