Where are the stock markets headed over the next 6 months?

[Coytee]

I looked at buying a bulk diesel tank so I could buy maybe 250 gallons.  I've not looked at all of them but I've seen them over $1,000.  Add to that the purchase of the diesel and I shrug my shoulders thinking I might be just as well off keeping the $1,000 in my pocket and buy the fuel as needed....  the $1,000 will go a long way to cover the incremental cost savings of the fuel being down.  (though my tractor is rather thirsty, my backhoe is surprisingly frugal for such a large machine)

[Arrow#422]

Had to bring it back up:

Only 2 weeks to go to see whose best guess was correct..........DJIA is currently up 3% since the poll was posted back on 2/25/2020.

NO breadth to any of the indices is a concern going forward.

ymmv

[Jeff Matthews]

17 hours ago, Arrow#422 said:

Had to bring it back up:

Only 2 weeks to go to see whose best guess was correct..........DJIA is currently up 3% since the poll was posted back on 2/25/2020.

NO breadth to any of the indices is a concern going forward.

ymmv

Interesting to see that the option receiving the most votes is on target.  "Collective wisdom?"

[Jeff Matthews]

And here we are!

 

6 months ago, the DJIA was 27,081.  The day is not over, but it just hit 28,110.  That's up 3.8%.

[Jeff Matthews]

And down we go!  We haven't seen moves this big since the onset of Covid.  

[mr clean]

On 3/9/2020 at 12:42 PM, Emile said:

Good idea, but ... most of these experts are "still working at their jobs," meaning they did not retire on their market earnings   And of course they (nor anyone else) can predict highs/lows.  

I’m glad I. listened to him and not you! I’m the one smiling now😎

[Seadoc]

Very glad to be "cautiously" invested right now.  Hope for the best and plan for the worst.

[Coytee]

Deleted this and will leave it at if you are going to try to 'predict the future' with regard to your investments, you need to look down the road a bit and assess what you think may or may not happen....and make your bets.  You can't effectively wait to say "I'm going to wait to see IF it rains tomorrow to do......"  because by the time it does or doesn't rain, it's too late.

 

(speaking in generalities as there will always be exceptions to the logic)

Edited August 10, 2021 by Coytee
Didn't intend for it to be controversial.

[Audible Nectar]

On 8/7/2021 at 9:42 AM, Coytee said:

Not to be/sound/get political....but

 

1.  I don't think 

2.  I don't think

 

None of the above is intended to be/sound political......  but in the investing world, you have to look at your surroundings and things that may/will affect your portfolio.  In my opinion, one of the two situations stated above will likely happen and if one does, being prepared for it prior could be of benefit.

 

 

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL.

 

Really?

[billybob]

My Crystal just fogged over...

[Fast996]

A cycle low is due in 2022,2023,and 2024 which is a 40 year cycle. The months of August,September,October are typically cycle high . . . .

 

[Deleated the political]

[oldtimer]

jtfc

[314carpenter]

MIT Predicted in 1972 That Society Will Collapse This Century. New Research Shows We’re on Schedule.

 

Ok so maybe this isn't the stock market in the next 6 months, but this new research solidifies and vindicates my own independent thoughts and opinions that have remained with me since I was in the sixth grade. Something that some of you may want to talk to your adult children about. Or simply revert back to the standard issue choices that allow us to live at peace, for at least a little while ...

1) Don't know

2) Don't care

 

https://www.vice.com/en/article/z3xw3x/new-research-vindicates-1972-mit-prediction-that-society-will-collapse-soon

 

The recent study was written by written by Gaya Herrington, a senior director at professional services giant KPMG, one of the 'Big Four' accounting firms as measured by global revenue.

published in the Yale Journal of Industrial Ecology in November 2020

https://advisory.kpmg.us/articles/2021/limits-to-growth.html

 

Which shall it be???

 

 

bau2.webp ct.webp

[Jeff Matthews]

Yellowstone is due to blow.  Mass extinction!

[Zen Traveler]

On 8/7/2021 at 9:42 AM, Coytee said:

None of the above is intended to be/sound political......  but in the investing world, you have to look at your surroundings and things that may/will affect your portfolio.  In my opinion, one of the two situations stated above will likely happen and if one does, being prepared for it prior could be of benefit.

Of course it's  political. 

[Coytee]

Tis why I said it wasn't intended to be.  When one is investing, one might want to look at prevailing trends in interest rates, economics, (yes, politics), other items.... so it was intended to be as "political" as a comment about changing interest rates might be "political".  Its just another ingredient that one should weigh.  

 

One has their thoughts (whatever they may be) and places their bets (whatever they may be) and will find out afterwards if they played their cards right.  Waiting to play your cards after the game is over won't get you any returns.  You have to make your move(s) prior to the event to the degree you can.

[richieb]

58 minutes ago, Zen Traveler said:

Of course it's  political. 

Interesting theories for sure. Political? You don’t think the collapse of civilization wouldn’t be political? Look how well the 

“non-politicization” of a relatively “mild” virus has done. Now inject a true, population kill down virus, lack of food, water, fuel etc. and yeah you might see a form of political persuasion. 

[Zen Traveler]

56 minutes ago, richieb said:

Political? You don’t think the collapse of civilization wouldn’t be political?

Of course. Coytee didn't mention that.

Quote

 

Look how well the 

“non-politicization” of a relatively “mild” virus has done.

I'm not sure what you are talking about here or the gist, but Covid-19 definitely isn't a "mild" virus. 

 

Btw, I relish a productive political debate but have been warned not to do so on this forum any longer. FYI.

[Zen Traveler]

On 8/7/2021 at 9:42 AM, Coytee said:

Not to be/sound/get political....but

 

1.  I don't think 

2.  I don't think Biden

 

If #2 above, then the question is

I gather @richieb thinks this scenario could be "the end of civilization."  I think (deleted, political)

 

(Mod edit: It doesn't matter what you think in this context, because it's .political. See @Coytee, this is why it doesn't matter what you"intended", if it is political, it is political and despite your best intentions it is always going to draw an  opposite viewpoint. Then guess what?, we have a political discussion going on because you have an urge to express your political predictions ( "not intended to be  political") in the context of investments/stock market. Everyone just puts at the end of their response to your post that they don't intend for it to be political add at the end of their response why you are wrong, that they don't intend for their response to be political.

 

That is why the rule on no politics doesn't say "don't post anything you  intend to be political", it simply says don't post anything political. )

[billybob]

On 8/8/2021 at 12:22 PM, Zen Traveler said:

I gather @richieb thinks this scenario could be "the end of civilization."  I think . 

Whoops there it is... Again lol !