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Where are the stock markets headed over the next 6 months?


Jeff Matthews
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Where are the stock markets headed over the next 6 months?  

15 members have voted

  1. 1. What's your prediction as to growth/loss in the DJIA from today (27,081) through 8/24/2020? (names and votes are public)

    • It will rise 10+%
    • It will rise between 5 and 10%
    • It will rise between 3 and 5%
    • It will rise between 0 and 3%
    • It will fall between 0 and 3%
      0
    • It will fall between 3 and 5%
      0
    • It will fall between 5 and 10%
    • It will fall between 10 and 15%
    • It will fall between 15 and 25%
    • It will fall between 25 and 35%
    • It will fall 35+%

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  • Poll closed on 03/27/20 at 03:08 AM

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Japan has the highest debt to GDP ratio in the world. If it has done 5 down and 3 up,it will thrust down in a 3rd wave. The UST Bond is just started it's 3rd wave. If short term rates rise a 1/2 percent...these highly debt leveraged countries are in trouble. Once short term rates rise the Central Banks are powerless. We will see.

2021-08-10_13-23-17.png

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16 minutes ago, Schu said:

bull markets don't die AT ALL when they are being constantly injected with federal liquidity on an ongoing basis. the big issue comes when you pull the needle out of the arm.


— I believe the same effect when you put the needle IN a ballon — 🎈💉

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                                                                                                                                                                       IT LOOKS LIKE MEDWIN IS BACK

 

                                                                                                            🙈  🙉  🙊

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9 minutes ago, billybob said:

Hard to swallow charts...

 

Price charts have a place and purpose. But making trading or investing, or market timing decisions based on them is not one of them.

 

Analyzing the financial markets, or their individual instruments is a statistical (mathematical) problem.

 

And therein lies the caveat. As Benjamin Disraeli once said, "There are lies, and there are damn lies. And then there's statistics."

 

Right now, we are experiencing one of those grandest of statistical lies. How is a price chart going to help you navigate through that?

 

(HINT: it won't)

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44 minutes ago, artto said:

the fast one

Two completely different people, and accounts, plus the types of charts and suggested trading mechanisms.  Maybe it was the intention, but calling one the other insults them both...

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2 minutes ago, oldtimer said:

Two completely different people, and accounts, plus the types of charts and suggested trading mechanisms.  Maybe it was the intention, but calling one the other insults them both...

It was a joke...my remark.

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"Two completely different people, and accounts, plus the types of charts and suggested trading mechanisms.  Maybe it was the intention, but calling one the other insults them both..."

 

Two completely different people, and accounts, types of charts and trading mechanisms has absolutely nothing to do with it. The OP I'm referring to is IMHO much closer to the beginning of their financial journey than I and couple others in here. Interesting how newbies also seem to ignore (or worse, argue) those who have been around the block more than a few times. Provide some insightful and extremely useful real information and what do we get as a response? Five, six, seven or more charts "supporting their view".

 

And that's where most people go wrong. It's not about what they think, or what they think they've found or what they see.

 

The market is already telling you everything you need to know. But most haven't taken the time to learn and listen.

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1 minute ago, artto said:

"Two completely different people, and accounts, plus the types of charts and suggested trading mechanisms.  Maybe it was the intention, but calling one the other insults them both..."

 

Two completely different people, and accounts, types of charts and trading mechanisms has absolutely nothing to do with it. The OP I'm referring to is IMHO much closer to the beginning of their financial journey than I and couple others in here. Interesting how newbies also seem to ignore (or worse, argue) those who have been around the block more than a few times. Provide some insightful and extremely useful real information and what do we get as a response? Five, six, seven or more charts "supporting their view".

 

And that's where most people go wrong. It's not about what they think, or what they think they've found or what they see.

 

The market is already telling you everything you need to know. But most haven't taken the time to learn and listen.

Absolutely.

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