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Corona has vanished!


geoff.

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Darkness at the break of noon
Shadows even the silver spoon
The handmade blade, the child's balloon
Eclipses both the sun and moon
To understand you know too soon, there is no sense in trying

Pointed threats, they bluff with scorn
Suicide remarks are torn
From the fool's gold mouthpiece the hollow horn
Plays wasted words proves to warn
That he not busy being born is busy dying

Temptation's page flies out the door
You follow, find yourself at war
Watch waterfalls of pity roar
You feel to moan but unlike before
You discover that you'd just be one more person crying

So don't fear if you hear
A foreign sound to your ear
It's alright, Ma, I'm only sighing

As some warn victory, some downfall
Private reasons great or small
Can be seen in the eyes of those that call
To make all that should be killed to crawl
While others say don't hate nothing at all, except hatred

Disillusioned words like bullets bark
As human gods aim for their mark
Made everything from toy guns that spark
To flesh-colored Christs that glow in the dark
It's easy to see without looking too far that not much is really sacred

Our preachers preach of evil fates
Teachers teach that knowledge waits
Can lead to hundred-dollar plates
Goodness hides behind its gates
But even the President of the United States
Sometimes must have to stand naked

An' all the rules of the road have been lodged
It's only people's games that you got to dodge
And it's alright, Ma, I can make it

Advertising signs that con you
Into thinking you're the one
That can do what's never been done
That can win what's never been won
Meantime life outside goes on all around you

You lose yourself, you reappear
You suddenly find you got nothing to fear
Alone you stand with nobody near
When a trembling distant voice, unclear
Startles your sleeping ears to hear
That somebody thinks they really found you

A question in your nerves is lit
Yet you know there is no answer fit
To satisfy insure you not to quit
To keep it in your mind and not forget
That it is not he or she or them or it that you belong to

Although the masters make the rules
For the wise men and the fools
I got nothing, Ma, to live up to

For them that must obey authority
That they do not respect in any degree
Who despise their jobs, their destinies
Speak jealously of them that are free
Do what they do just to be
Nothing more than something they invest in

While some on principles baptized
To strict party platform ties
Social clubs in drag disguise
Outsiders they can freely criticize
Tell nothing except who to idolize and say, "God bless him"

While one who sings with his tongue on fire
Gargles in the rat race choir
Bent out of shape from society's pliers
Cares not to come up any higher
But rather get you down in the hole that he's in

But I mean no harm nor put fault
On anyone that lives in a vault
But it's alright, Ma, if I can't please him

Old lady judges watch people in pairs
Limited in sex, they dare
To push fake morals, insult and stare
While money doesn't talk, it swears
Obscenity, who really cares propaganda, all is phony

While them that defend what they cannot see
With a killer's pride, security
It blows the minds most bitterly
For them that think death's honesty
Won't fall upon them naturally
Life sometimes must get lonely

My eyes collide head-on with stuffed graveyards
False goals, I scuff at pettiness which plays so rough
Walk upside-down inside handcuffs
Kick my legs to crash it off
Say, "Okay, I have had enough, what else can you show me?"

And if my thought dreams could be seen
They'd probably put my head in a guillotine
But it's alright, Ma, it's life, and life only

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You all get led around like sheep in matters of science. 

 

You all know the answer to this. 

 

What has the new confirmed cases of Covid-19 been in South Dakota been, day to day, for the last two to three weeks? Down, stable or up?

 

Here's a fact, the 8,000 or so Sturgis locals were advised to leave town, or shelter in place, by local authorities. A lot didn't. 80% of town revenue comes from licensing fees on merchindise and sales related to that one week event. In other words, without that event, property taxes would have to triple in order for that community to survive. So they were going to have that event no matter what unless legally prevented from doing so. They could care less if 500,000 people come to town, spread whatever can be spread, and they all pick up and leave. In NOLA in Mardi Gra, same way, come Wed. get out of town, and they hose down the streets. 

 

So look at spike in cases in South Dakota, and look at deaths above baseline in South Dakota for the 45 days after Sturgis. This is the same as Tulsa, Memorial Day, and a host of other events that there isn't any dispute about.

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1 hour ago, dwilawyer said:

What has the new confirmed cases of Covid-19 been in South Dakota been, day to day, for the last two to three weeks? Down, stable or up?

 

So look at spike in cases in South Dakota, and look at deaths above baseline in South Dakota for the 45 days after Sturgis. This is the same as Tulsa, Memorial Day, and a host of other events that there isn't any dispute about.

It looks like cases in SD peaked at 623 on August 27, roughly two weeks after the end of Sturgis, which makes sense.  There's been a downward trend in cases the last couple weeks.  I agree we'll have to watch the deaths - they've been flat or down thus far.  4 people died today after putting up zeros the last few days.  I don't know the demographics of the deaths, or if they are related to Sturgis.  But I worry about this event, more so than cases on a college campus for example, because Sturgis attendees are not the healthiest population.

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3 minutes ago, mungkiman said:

 

I'm more concerned that the attendees dispersed far and wide after Sturgis to return home. College students are being encouraged to stay where they are, limiting exposure to others.

 

Agreed, although cases in the US peaked in mid-July and deaths in mid-August.  Both have been trending down since their peaks.  Maybe there's a sturgis-bump in the data someplace but I can't see it.  Definitely something to watch.

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12 minutes ago, pbphoto said:

Agreed, although cases in the US peaked in mid-July and deaths in mid-August.  Both have been trending down since their peaks.

 

Don't forget that testing is also down, so fewer cases will be found. Deaths might be trending downward, but they're still a long way from 'rounding the corner.' I'm taking a wait and see approach while hoping for better news.

 

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6 minutes ago, mungkiman said:

 

Don't forget that testing is also down, so fewer cases will be found. Deaths might be trending downward, but they're still a long way from 'rounding the corner.' I'm taking a wait and see approach while hoping for better news.

 

Is testing down?  In Illinois, testing is thru the roof as kids go back to school.  The friday before labor day, Illinois did almost 150K tests - 4X more than average.  I'm not sure why but I suspect every school district in the state that opened this last Tuesday told their kids to send in their test kits last week.

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1 hour ago, mungkiman said:

Yet maskless gatherings are still being televised and even encouraged by some.

 

Who cares. So is abstinence, for a host of other things, far worse than Covid-19, yet people still don't practice abstinence or "safe" sex. It's the difference between getting your information from a "news" source, which is in the business of selling papers, or ads, and a scientific journal which doesn't rely on ad revenue. The former is trying to suck you in to sell more papers, or higher price per spot, the latter is trying to maintain it's prestige within scientific community.

 

"News" used to be a public service of broadcasting, a money loser. Since cable, It is now a business that has to be profitable. To be profitable it has to fight for every viewing, and so now it is entertainment. News, like advertising, has to draw you in. Just look at the people who read you the news. You are being "sold" whether it is the story, the person reading you the story, etc. To sell you, they do what they have known in advertising forever, use words, phrases, photos, that evoke an emotional response. The focus is what will invoke an emotional response with our target audience, not what depicts the most factual version of the event. 

 

It like the guy who goes into a topless bar, if he doesn't know what the game is before he walks in the door he is in for a heap of trouble. Do you expect do get honest reporting about your personality, attractiveness, whatever in a topless bar? Or do you expect someone to invoke your emotions to separate you from your money? Why would you expect a "news" outlet to be balanced, fair and objective? 

 

Watch a hearing on C-Span (they just had one this week by the way, does anyone know the topic) and then watch the "news" and see how they describe the hearing. You are draw to a news outlet for a reason, they know the reason, and they know what you want to hear. You, almost without exception, say that the hearing you watched in real time didn't resemble what was summarized in "the news." That a hearing, where the news knows people have a way to check it out (C-Span replay) but they don't care because they know their audience isn't going to bother watching it. They just to tell them what they want to hear, whether it is accurate or not. If they are caught they just issue a "correction" if print, do nothing if television. 

 

Covid-19 is medicine and science, well covered in the science based sources, if people want to know facts they can look it up easily. Except you are not going to have your emotions played with, and you are not going to be entertained.

 

 

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24 minutes ago, mungkiman said:

 

This only covers through last week, but the curves are similar between testing numbers and positive cases.

 

 

clinical-labs.gif

South Dakota was advised by Federal Task Force on Sunday that they had the 2nd highest positivity rate in the US and they are concerned. 

 

It has to be under 5% (really 4%) sustained at local level or you are in a spreader situation. Nationally that is looking good, but look at rates in the South and Southwest.

 

 

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On 9/10/2020 at 9:55 AM, billybob said:

Seems that most trusted are the most consistent in their messaging. When they go for drama and sensationalism, it sort of impacts negatively upon themselves. ( not exclusive to Fox)

For sure not exclusive, that site that someone posted earlier was excellent on that score. It showed what the lean was, and the reliability. 

 

I'm comfortable sorting out the lean on my own, either way, but when the reliability is suspect as well then it isn't news, it's an echo chamber. If people don't care, or know, if their source is reliable they just want to be entertained. I want multiple, but reliable, perspectives, especially on something that would surely kill my parents if it sneaks through the front door.

 

Whether people seek credible information vs. entertainment is well studied, and documented by Pew Research, on the media. It falls right in line with that Website.

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