Travis In Austin
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Posts posted by Travis In Austin
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And that is a function of cost, which none of the manufacturers/experts are talking about.
Volvo hopes to have less than a hundred cars made in 2017, in Sweden.
Tesla S, a level 3 car, is what 85K? I have seen two in Austin, a lawyer at my office has one, and one on the road.
The price the average consumer can pay for a car based on the average wage earned in the U.S. is about 30K.
The Infinity that is being tested has over 200K in equipment in it.
When you can get a level 4 car down to 25 to 30K in today's dollers, like oldtimer said, you are looking at about 50 percent ownership in a decade.
As more automation is introduced, more accidents will be caused by said automation.
Any science to go with that, or just religion?
Dave
He's not making any larger leaps than you are. It is one thing to discuss and debate the technology, capabilities, pros, cons, etc.. but it is another when you claim to know time lines and how it will be implemented and accepted by society. How any technology fits into a culture can be full of surprises. I wish I had more time. This could be fun.
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disengaged from computers, starting at least 25 miles out.
Living in an astronaut neighborhood I have been told reliably the shuttle, like the FB117, and B2 are not flyable without computers. The computers provide a pilot with an illusion of stability that is entirely produced by the machine to allow them to steer it as they normally do.
RB-72 may be normally entirely unmanned, as well as the B3. I will certainly agree this is a whole other ball game than a ground vehicle.
Perfect example.
As for take off and orbit...never have seen a hand on the controls.
Dave
The shuttle was most definitely digital fly by wire, but the computer does not assist with stability control as in the case of the F-117 and B-2 which are flying wings and inherently unstable and probably incapable of routine manual flight on a sustained basis just like Northrop's original flying wing was.
No liftoff has been done manually by any rocket, not Mercury, Gemini or Saturn/Apollo. They didn't even have computers to get into orbit initially. The first living thing into space was a dog, our first living thing was a chimp. Getting up requires no automation at all, just escape speed, it is the getting back that is the hard part.
The shuttle did have an autoland system available but it was never certified for use, and never used.
Deviations in orbit had, at times, a man at the controls. For example, docking, every docking operation with ISS was completely manual. The Space Shuttle was never capable of automonus "flight" nor was it meant to be, the landing gear had to be lowered by the actual flick of a switch.
My source is Ret. Col. Gregory Johnson, pilot on two shuttle missions (pilots don't land it, the commander does, but have to be able to do so) who was a classmate of mine at UT in a management course.
The B-3, if made, will most certainly have flight controls (a stick), and two seats for people to sit in. Whether they will actually sit in it remains to be seen. It won't even be nuclear capable initially if it is built.
The X-37B is a pretty much autonomus spacecraft, so we are capable of doing so but have chosen not to in the case of manned spaceflight.
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"Volvo's system is what's considered Level 3 autonomous driving. That is, able to navigate along a given road safely all by itself. Level 4 is the sort of system Google is working on, where you can punch in an address and then curl up in the back seat for a bit of a nap if you like. Volvo pledges to lease 100 of these Level 3 cars to the citizens of Gothenberg in 2017. (Other cities should come soon after, with LA and Shanghai mentioned as high-value targets.) Google, too, hopes to have its system on the roads by the end of the same year, but with no automotive partners announced it's not difficult to be skeptical."
Well if I had bothered to read down, I would have seen the above quote. They are leasing them? Why? Technology and cost reduction will make them obsolete is less than 3 years?
The guy from Delphi said it would be transitional, and he belives a majority of Level 4 cars on the road will be abiut 2050, I can easily see that, assuming they can get price down to what an average consumer can afford and is willing to pay.
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The space shuttle was pretty much entirely operated by computer.
Dave
Except for the landings. EVERY Space Shuttle landing was made by a human, disengaged from computers, starting at least 25 miles out. There were too many variables for a computer to handle a dead stick landing of an aircraft having the glideslope of a brick (-20 degrees nose down attitude, begin pitching up at 2,500' AGL,roughly 6 times steeper than a commercial airliner).
It would have been too costly and taken too long to develop.
How much will the Volvo be? What level of automation are they striving for by 2017?
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From Texas A&MIf I'm not mistaken, I believe your lawn (Floratam St Augustine) requires quite a bit of shade
All the St Augustine around here thrives on full sun. Just don't let it get crunchy from lack of water and it'll grow like crazy.
A number of cultivars have been developed:
'Captiva' - released in 2007. Developed by the University of Florida for its resistance to the southern chinch bug[7] and its dwarf profile, which requires less mowing.
'Floratam' - released in 1973. Resists the viral infection St. Augustine decline (SAD) and the chinch bug. Not as cold- or shade-tolerant.
'Floratine' - released in 1959. Has a darker color and finer texture. Tolerates lower temperatures and needs less mowing.
'Palmetto' - released in the mid-1990s. A smaller, lighter green grass.
'Raleigh' - released in 1980. Tolerant of cold, but susceptible to insects and disease.
'Sapphire' - released in 2004. Selected from Australia for its dark blue-green leaves and purple stolons and rapid lateral growth.
'Seville' - released in 1980. Similar to 'Floratam', but with a finer texture.
'Texas Common' - Most similar to the natural species, it has fallen out of favor due to its susceptibility to the incurable SAD virus.
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I will be in London for a few days before venturing to the white cliffs of Dover and then Normandy.Wile your over yonder, you might wish to look into an audio store, most big citys have one or more.
Good thought!
There is a dealer/Jubilee owner in the UK, not sure if he is in London though.
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Well that is probably true, so old and crusty that she now runs World Rally for FIA. She drove in Group B, a class that at the end had over 500 hp but driver and spectator deaths led to the ban on Group B and they are now running at what, 300hp in WRC?
I would much prefer michelle Mouton driving me than a computer.The cars will travel as fast as design limits, and I'd MUCH prefer a computer handling snow and ice than any human.
Spoken like a man who's never watched a world rally race.
She's a bit dried out and crusty by now.....
For me, for mixed or pure off road, I'd love to ride shotgun with Sebastien Loeb..... or even Ivan Stewart.
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That's what I thought….trade in the B&K for P37s.& if the WAF kills big k-horns. how about palladiums?
Guys that pull down 7 digits don't have WAF in their vocabulary.
LoL, without exception, every person I know who is married that makes 7 digits has WAF to consider, and the necessity for WAF is directly and exponentially proportional to the amount of money earned.
However, what WAF may be varies from individual to individual, and may have nothing to do with what the wife likes or would choose, but rather, is often related to what she believes will make him the happiest.
I know a doctor on here whose wife ordered him Jubilees as a surprise for Christmas.
I know another doctor on here who has owned LaScalas, WMW, other pro equipment, Lascalas, and Jubilees, and his wife also bought him a pair of McIntosh tower array speakers.
I know another doctor on here that owns KHorns, is quoted in the PWK biography, and has been a long, long time happy listener with vinyl and tape for sources.
If you can get him/her an nearby easy listen to jubes, he probably won't even be interested in B&W. If he wants more plug and play, get him a listen to some Khorns properly set up in a similar size room he is looking at.
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I think the head guy at Delphi is pretty realistic about when a fully automated model will be available to the public and he sees more of a transition.
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I believe it has been mentioned that instead of actually buying one of these things, a different model can apply. Paying for a subscription to the service (fleet owner) eliminates the "buy my car" trap with its associated debt that most succumb to. Imagine only paying for your actual use of transportation (on a demand basis) instead of purchasing a depreciating asset. I am halfway there since I only buy used for cash. Those of us in this position will evaluate the subject a little more subjectively than the ones addicted to that new car smell. I say a little more because I love driving my cars.
I agree with that model whole heartedly. But the automakers won't and so it would have to be government run or subsidized, which is socialization, which freaks people out here. We have a private version in Austin, Cars2go which I have seen in tge Metroplex, it is relatively expensive. Perfect for high-rise dweller that has everything they need close by and needs it for occasional journey here or there, but they charge by minute and Uber might even be cheeper.
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I have had St. Augustine for years, and had to revitalize what previous people have done. Previous posts have addressed how I solved my problems. I took photos and brough them down to a local St. Augustine dealer with a soil sample. Between the fungas that causes brown spot, white grubs, and needed to spread organic material, it became emerald green. Organic is much better than fertilizer, St. Augustine you can burn very easily. What you see in your photos could easily be from over fertilization as soil. It doesn't look like white grubs to me, but that is an easy check.
The grubs chew the roots and you grab a piece and if it pulls out real easy it is crubs.
It it is brown and still has good healthy roots than brown spot. That fungus spreads everywhere. If you dont mow it yourself it can be carried from a mower used on previous guys lawn.
You will save time and headaches by taking a lot of digital photos and going down to the local sod seller. If it is grub damage you are going to need new sod anyway.
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It wasn't meant to be funny, it was a legal question relating to Thaddeus' situation of ending up in a ditch.
Trying to figure out where Iceland came into the picture, I must have skipped over something.
Neither, I was off topic relating an un-related experience.
I figured it out now.
Well, you are certainly right about Iceland being way different. Here you typically have to be either driving or operating. So there you could be at home, clearly drunk, go out to get something out of your car, like a CD and they can get you for DWI?
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oh and I blew a .204 at the jail.
Well, and then there is that.
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As I said before, the technology has been demonstrated and in place since the late 90s. It is a matter of cost.
Safety doesn't sell, never has and never wwill to the average consumer. Why are there now three point safety belts for every occupant position in a vehicle? Because of federal law mandating it.
How much are the initial AVs going to cost? Apparently the cost of a Tesla S.
Here is an article from last year discussing cost as a factor in the demand for AVs and in terms of sales. The head guy on automation from Delphi is quoted.
http://m.fastcompany.com/3025722/will-you-ever-be-able-to-afford-a-self-driving-car
The article also touches on a very important study just done every year, the average cost of a car. The average price of a car now exceeds the average income earnet in the US can afford.
The technology will not take off until they can get the price down to being what the average new car buyer can afford through price, incentives like tax credits or subsidies, and/or state or federal mandates, but probably a combination thereof.
It will most certainly happen, Ford will offer it in 2017, and a small percentage will buy it. More will buy it if you can use HOV lanes with it, and still more will buy it with a tax credit.
10, 20, 30 years? It is all a function of price and public policy makers (read legislators).
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Was the engine running? Key in the ignition when they found you?
Not funny and it was in Iceland where the 'laws' are different but when hosting a party in the base housing a CD was missing and needed to be recovered from the car. Open the car door to retrieve the disc, naturally the keys were in hand, and the Icehead police decided that there was intent to drive never mind all the guests in the house and holding a compact disc. DWI.
Just a side note; we were only permitted to have 10 CDs in the vehicle and all of them had to be registered with security, change a CD take a trip to security. Couldn't have us selling compact discs on the black market.
Did you know that a properly flushed windshield wiper washer system could dispense alcohol as long as you had a tube to attach to the nozzle? No booze allowed off the 'agreed area' either.
It wasn't meant to be funny, it was a legal question relating to Thaddeus' situation of ending up in a ditch.
Trying to figure out where Iceland came into the picture, I must have skipped over something.
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while I might tend to agree with this on some levels, I can not with judges or police, How can one charge / judge someone for failing to follow a law when they themselves do not follow it............................Hypocrisy at the highest levelThis is typical. I don't see the big deal.
People who are generally-perceived as "respected" citizens are treated with more leniency. Usually, their accomplishments (or lack thereof) tend to tell you whether they are the type that needs a good whoopin' or not.
Why not cut an accomplished, first-time offender some slack? I'd rather see that than the "zero tolerance," "one size fits all" disciplinary policies that schools, for instance, implemented in order to avoid perceived "favoritism." When assessing whether to punish and to what degree, a person's accomplishments ought to be considered. Just my 2 cents...
Agree with Carl POS.
That depends. Do we have any evidence that she sentenced first-time offenders to hell?
Judges are supposed to be people, too. I know if I was standing before a judge, needing a little mercy, I'd sure want that judge to see me through human eyes. I wouldn't want some infallible, intolerant judge judging me. I would be afraid of that.
Judges are in very powerful positions. I think they ought to be able to relate and sympathize with normal people who find themselves caught-up in their own bad judgment. Yes, people need to pay the price for their bad judgment, but the price they pay should be a fair one. I think you might tend to get a more fair price from a judge who knows how to put a price on something through his/her own experience.
If this judge is a decent person, then, I imagine that from now on, she will temper her rulings in DWI cases by her own experience. After all, the state bar could have come down on her much harder. She got a break. These kinds of things can shape her into an even better judge.
She is an appellate judge, 13th Circuit, she won't be sentencing any one for DWI.
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This smells of a cover-up. First, they had her clearly for DWI but no such charges were ever filed. This allowed a circumvention of the justice system completely in this regard. Had they charged here with DWI in the first place minimum sentencing standards would have come into play.
This is not simply a case of being lenient because she was a judge, this is a case of completely sweeping the issue under the rug.
Animal Farm. Plain and simple.
We don't have minimum sentencing in Texas on a first DWI if you get probation. There is a state mandated class and a mandatory surcharge.
I haven't seen the facts of yet or the video.
The video on here may be on this link,
http://m.krgv.com/news/Commission-Issues-Admonition-of-Justice-Longoria/31928466
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if you had a client that appeared in front of this judicial system do you think you could win a DWI case? I know that I would want to just say I'm so sooorry
The DA, Rene Guerra, should be indicted. The new AG should appoint a special prosecutor to put her on trial now, that statute of limitations hasn't expired and I doubt he dismissed it with prejudice. Even if there wasn't a video she could still be prosecuted.
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I was passed out in a ditch when they found me and I didn't want to see my dash cam footage played in court. So I decided to save money on a lawyer and just take responsibility for my actions. After 15 months of probation and $10k in various fees and services I had learned my lesson.
This article makes me angry.
Was the engine running? Key in the ignition when they found you?
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Ya, just a small amount...that's the ticket.
Honest officer, it was just a small amount. I couldn't be drunk.
I've used that with a jury, but in reverse, 100 lb female would have had to consume 8 beers to be bac they claimed, jury didn't buy it.
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Look at all of those Texas people going, amazing.
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The cars will travel as fast as design limits, and I'd MUCH prefer a computer handling snow and ice than any human.
Spoken like a man who's never watched a world rally race.
I would much prefer michelle Mouton driving me than a computer.
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Does anyone have a music documentary they can recommend about a specific labels? I was recently in Half Price Books and picked up a great book on the story of Casablanca Records. I'd love to see if there is one to watch.
This Ain't No Mouse Music is on Netflix right now and is an excellent documentary about Chris Strachwitz, the owner and founder of Arhoolie records in 1960. He started out much like Jac Holzman, recording "folk music." However, he stayed low key, and it was very interesting how he goes out and finds this music and gets it down on tape.
He started recording lost blues treasures like Lightin' Hopkins and Big Mama Thorton, getting down local Tejano greats such as Flaco, Cajun, etc.
He has recorded Artists who have recorded for the Arhoolie label include: Big Mama Thornton, Big Walter Horton, Dave Alexander, Nathan Beauregard, Juke Boy Bonner, Clifton Chenier, Elizabeth Cotten, Sue Draheim, Jesse Fuller, Earl Hooker, John Jackson, Mance Lipscomb,Guitar Slim, Robert Shaw, Mississippi Fred McDowell, Whistlin' Alex Moore, George 'Bongo Joe' Coleman, Charlie Musselwhite, Doctor Ross, Bukka White, Big Joe Williams, Silas Hogan, Mercy Dee Walton, Black Ace, The Campbell Brothers, BeauSoleil, Jerry Hahn, the Savoy Family Band, the Pine Leaf Boys, Los Cenzontles, The Klezmorim, Rose Maddox, and the Rebirth Brass Band.
I highly recommend it if you have Netflix.
Travis
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Does anyone have a music documentary they can recommend about a specific labels? I was recently in Half Price Books and picked up a great book on the story of Casablanca Records. I'd love to see if there is one to watch.
Factory Records
Rough Trade, by BBC if I recall correctly.
Netflix has one now called Our Vinyl Weighs A Ton about the Hop Hop lable Stone's Throw Records.
For a great book about Elektra Records I liked Holzman's book about the lable he founded, and Wexler's book about his Atlantic Records is indispensable in my opinion.
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Today's Airbus Crash or Keep Your Computer Out of My Car
in Lounge
Posted
They are in the tail section which generally remains intact as was the case here with one of them. I am sure it wasn't a pretty site and I sure wouldn't want to have to do it.
God rest their souls.