Dflip

There appears to be a storm forming in the Atlantic, worth keeping an eye on it. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ There are a number of potentials forming up across the Africa, so it looks like in a week/ week and a half there is potential for the beginning of the main hurricane season. It might just be me, but it looks like they're tracking a bit more to the south than some years, which means a greater chance of making the Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico. A couple of years ago they formed further north and were blocked by an air mass before they got anywhere near the U.S. east coast.

Dtel: Thank you for the suggestion. The only problem with your suggestion is that I would have to use my McIntosh MC-30's all the time. Since the "original style" power tubes are very expensive, $125 a tube (five years ago and increasing in price), I don't want to over tax that system. A solid state system, AVR, would be a lot cheaper to operate. I found a speaker switcher which will also allow amp switching which would be ideal. I could leave the Cornwalls attached and then select the amp, MC-30 or AVR? That might work well, also allowing me to hook up the centre channel. The RC 3 II in the computer system is unbelieveable, especially with well recorded songs. The 2.1 Klipsch computer speakers provide the immediate detail; well, to the extent that they can. The RC 3 would also make an excellent centre channel for the tv. Of course, the funny part is the Rc 3 cost me 2 1/2 times less than the Rc-10. It is immediately evident at volume, where the larger speaker takes over.

I have a 52" t.v. and am looking to put a stereo with it to play the odd movie, sports, musical presentations (Olympics), etc... Yesterday, I picked up a RC 3 II centre channel speaker at a very good price. At the moment it's replacing a RC 10 as the centre channel for my computer system. It sure fills up the room with a sweet sound. Just a bit of overkill, but oh so good. There are a pair of RB 61's or Heresys available locally for about the same price. These speakers would sit on top of my Cornwalls (2 channel). At some point I will think about a sub, but it's not in the plans at the moment. I have an older Acurus amp and preamp that I could run the system through. I have a very good 2 channel system for just listening to music, but I would prefer that the A.V. system is balanced for music first, rather than explosions. There are also a number of AV receivers available, NAD, Harmon Kardon and the ususal suspects. At most, this will be 4.1 system with right, left, centre and sub speakers. I just want something more than the t.v. speakers. My main system uses tubes, so I don't want to run it as much as this new system. Any thoughts or suggestions?

Not that it will both you Dtel, but the Pearl River is now scheduled to crest at 19.5 feet. It will remain over 18 feet until Friday morning. The downside of being at the south end of a drainage basin and it was also raining upstream. The Pearl River is the only site that is still listed with major flooding.

This the latest projection for Issac before they discontinue them. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH...30 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS ------- RAINFALL...STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT. The biggest headache for Toronto is rain on the first day of school on Tuesday. We're not talking Hazel here, either the mayor or the hurricane.

Dtel: According to the NOAA website, the Pearl River will crest tomorrow afternoon, but remain equally high until at least Thursday, at 18.5 feet. The river is close to 17 feet at the moment. The normal flooding level is 14 feet, so you may have a hard time getting in and out of your neighbourhood for a while. Maybe you can rent that army truck to pick up groceries? It looks like it could get through the high water.

For Dtel, the cresting level for the Pearl River is 18.5 feet from Sunday through Tuesday. It might even get a bit higher on Wednesday. Issac dropped a lot of water, not just on the coast, but further inland.

WS65711 I had no intention to suggest that others were at less or more risk. I have an idea where Dtel lives and I was commenting on the river I believed that was closest to him. If the dam on the Tangipahoa River holds you should be okay, if not...? The NOAA site suggests that the river flowing down from the resevior is fine at the moment. Of course, that assumes that the resevior does not overflow the dam. I certaintly hope you are safe and sound, as is your family. We get some snow up here, but 12 inches is a major snowfall which is nothing compared to what you just went through. I have communicated with Dtel about hurricanes for many years now including before Katrina, so that's why I pointed out what he was going through.

WS65711 I saw the report on CNN about the Tangipahoa Resevior, but it doesn't feed into the area that Dtel lives. It is a bit to the east when I searched Google Earth and influences a different river basin. The people downstream of this resevior need to get out of the way, in case the dam can't retain the water. The Pearl River is cresting upstream and at a major flooding level. If you go back a year ago or so, you will see that the cresting of streams and rivers was a major problem. All you have to do is go back a year ago and check out Irene to see the flooding and damage it produced.The rivers around the coast are on a more gradual slope and located at the headwaters and will not yield the same result in fast moving water which cause a different kind of damage. Water flows downhill and the land further north of the Gulf of Mexico is higher than the land near the coast. Lots of rain upstream has to flow back towards the Gulf of Mexico.

Great to see that everyone is fine and making due with being stuck at the house and not able to leave. The weather radar indicates that in another hour or two, all of Issac will be over land. The last band of heavy rain is on the west side of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain. Of course, all the water north still has to flow south, so the cresting levels of rivers is very important. The Pearl River, that runs parallel to Slidel is about 6" below the level where it will flood, 13.44 feet with minor flooding at 14 feet, moderate at 17 and major at 18 feet. By Sunday at 4 pm the projected peak is 18 feet. Hopefully it be a bit less. Please send my best to your mom and family. This site will show you the rivers around New Orleans, the current water levels and the potential height at cresting and when it will occur. http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=lix

The worst area right now seems to be the Louisianna-Alabama border according to the weather radar I just checked. The northeast area bands currently near Jackson also show a lot of rain. They also were mentioning flash flood warnings for Slidell. CNN was showing the flooding in Biloxi and Bay St. Louis not from a storm surge this time, but the sustained rainfall. It looks like the rain will stay until later today for those areas on the coast. Hopefully those of you in the area are safe. As much as you wanted rain, this might be "a bit more" than you wished for last week.

It appears that Baton Rouge is now under the eye of Issac. The biggest danger may be the two outward cells to the right which may cause disaster. Remember that the danger on the Atlantic Coast, Gulf of Mexico, is always to the right of the center of the hurricane.

Jason, pretty hard to complain about the president when the there are 70 mph winds over top of where Air Force One could land a plane. Moving as slow as Issac is, it could take another day or two at least. From a political perspective, Obama needs to show up as soon as it is safe to do so and I would guess that is the plan. The current climate is not safe to do so. I don't think they want to repeat what was done during Katrina! Thankfully, Issac was a lot less than Katrina. It was very positive to see the mayor of New Orleans, the governor and the federal government all working to make people safe. We have come a long way in seven years.

The winds are still at 70 mph at the core and Issac is moving at 5 mph nearly 24 hours after it first hit the mouth of the Mississippi River at least 24 hours ago. The storm has passed over New Orleans, but at it's present pace, it is still a big rain maker. Other than a friend in Florida who Francis passed over his house, I can't remember such a slow moving hurricane, which keeps pounding the coast. The center seems to be south of east of Baton Rouge which means the Mississippi River will continue to receive rain and swell up to flood the surrouding area. I'm not sure what the ultimate roof damage will be with this slow moving of a storm. I think many will be lost with the amount of rain that has fallen over the past 24 hours.

Issac continues to move very slowly. The 6 am advisory had it moving a 6 mph after going nowhere for 4 or 5 hours, with winds up to 80 mph. Twelve hours from now they are still projecting 60 mph winds, so this isn't going anywhere very quickly.

Dtel, moving might be an oxymoron. Seven or eight miles and hour is about the same pace as the Toronto Maple Leafs, Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Astros are moving towards the playoffs. A very slow and painful process. Fortunately, you may suffer for a day or two, while we have dealt with it since 1967. Not the same, but it does help explain slow moving! The winds are starting to adjust and will now start coming from the south as opposed to the north. This will increase the potential for flooding.

They are warning about Baton Rouge which is in a direct line and not a lot of land to slow it down. In other words, prepare for some flooding. Issac never made it to it's potential, thank goodness, but low lying areas around New Orleans and the surrounding areas need to take precaution.

Dtel, thank you for the additional information. I'm sure I would feel the same way Michael did when he saw what was left. The 7:00 am update has Issac slowed down to 7 mph which makes it worse of a rain maker than a faster moving hurricane. It now has winds of 70 mph with it increasing up to 85 mph winds. It appears that the outer bands are just about ready to arrive in New Orleans, so the rain is about to start. Included is the latest rainfall map. For those of you a lot further north, say east of Indianapolis, check out the rainfall that you are also going to see 5 -6 inches of rainfall. The following link shows the potential for coastal flooding http://w1.weather.gov/tcig/php/tcig_index.php?sid=lix&threat=coastal. There is another tab that will show the inland flooding. I hope you do well. I have to go out until after 5. I will check back later.

If my memory serves me right, Dtel is just north of Slidel. I think he posted a picture of his mom's house after Katrina and the damage was clearly evident. For another view of Slidel, http://www.katrinadestruction.com/images/v/hurricane+katrina+photos/. I hope that Issac treats them better than Katrina. The storm and tidal surge were the worst problems, while many of thought it was just the winds. Dtel, keep you and your family safe. Issac has slowed to 10 mph which allows it to intensify and also to become a huge rainmaker. If you don't believe that slow rainmakers can cause problems, then you should have seen what Marshall endured in 2004. They had Charley, Francis, and Jeanne that all passed over a twenty mile area on the eastern Florida coast, Stuart and Fort Pierce. Charley was quick and destructive. The other two, Cat 1 hurricanes, just hung over the coast and soaked all the shingles and roofs. There was a lot of damage when the third one passed, even for the houses that survived the first two hurricanes. Shingles aren't meant to withstand fifteen hours of strong rain and winds.

The 4 p.m. update increased the maximum speed to 100 mph near the coast, with 85 mph winds for the next 12 hours as Issac moves at 7-8 mph. This slow movement will drop a lot of rainfall. This will be a low Cat 2 hurricane.

This version is in Explorer, the top one was Google Chrome which is pretty ugly to read, sorry. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... * SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA...6 TO 12 FT * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT * FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA...WHERE ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. It appears like it will hit the north end of the Mississippi Delta at high tide Tuesday at 8 p.m. and closer to the west end of Lake Ponchartrain at low tide Wednesday morning.

The last message from the National Hurricane Center. The good news is upper level winds are keeping it from strengthening for 24 hours. It may get stronger after that, but it is now projected at 90 mph and moving at 15 mph. It's a Cat 1 at the moment with potential for a Cat 2 storm surge. People on the coast might want to ensure that they're on higher ground. 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 DATA FROM THE TAMPA AND KEY WEST DOPPLER RADARS...AND FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THE INNER CORE STRUCTURE AND INTENSITY OF ISAAC HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. A RAGGED EYE FEATURE HAS OCCASIONALLY APPEARED IN THESE DATA...BUT IT HAS BEEN UNABLE TO PERSIST. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS DECREASED TO AROUND 987-988 MB...BUT THIS HAS NOT RESULTED IN ANY INCREASE IN THE WIND SPEEDS. THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY OF 55 KT IS BEING MAINTAINED FOR THIS ADVISORY BASED ON THE RECON WIND DATA. .ISAAC MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...POSES SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE THREAT TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/12. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. THE LATEST 12Z UPPER-AIR DATA INDICATE 20-40 METER HEIGHT RISES AT THE 500 MB AND 400 MB LEVELS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S....WHICH SUGGESTS THAT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ISAAC HAS STRENGTHENED SLIGHTLY. THIS WOULD SUPPORT A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION UNTIL LANDFALL IN ABOUT 36-48 HOURS...AND THIS MOTION IS SUPPORTED BY THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS. AFTER 48 HOURS...HOWEVER... THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS WIDELY DIVERGENT WITH A SPREAD OF MORE THAN 500 N MI BETWEEN THE GFS ON THE LEFT AND THE ECMWF ON THE RIGHT. THE FORECAST TRACK AT DAYS 3-5 IS ALSO SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND LIES CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS...BUT THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST AT THOSE TIME PERIODS. THE LACK OF STRENGTHENING APPEARS TO TO BE DUE TO THE LARGER-THAN-AVERAGE WIND RADII...WHICH HAVE YET TO CONTRACT INWARD...ALONG WITH THE PERIODIC ENTRAINMENT OF DRY MID-LEVEL AIR FROM THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE INTO THE INNER-CORE REGION. UNTIL THE DRY AIR MIXES OUT...EROSION OF THE INNER-CORE CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE UNTIL ISAAC APPROACHES THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. AT THAT TIME...INCREASED FRICTIONAL EFFECTS FROM THE GULF COAST LAND MASS IS EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT...WHICH COULD ENABLE THE STRENGTHENING PROCESS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS MODEL IV15. BECAUSE SIGNIFICANT HAZARDS EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER...IT IS IMPORTANT NOT TO FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/1500Z 26.1N 85.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 28/0000Z 27.1N 86.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 28/1200Z 28.3N 88.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 29/0000Z 29.3N 89.6W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 29/1200Z 30.2N 90.5W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND 72H 30/1200Z 31.9N 91.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 96H 31/1200Z 35.2N 92.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 120H 01/1200Z 39.3N 91.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND $$ FORECASTER STEWART

The projected storm path for Storm 95 (Maria). A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

dtel: The myglobin in the meat is the liquid that most people refer to as blood, the red stuff that runs out of your roast or steak. Here is some information I downloaded a couple of years ago from America's Test Kitchen. How resting keeps meat juicier A final but very important step when cooking tenderloin (and all red meats) is allowing it to rest before slicing. As the proteins in the meat heat up during cooking, they coagulate, which basically means they uncoil and then reconnect, or bond, in a different configuration. When the proteins coagulate, they squeeze out part of the liquid that was trapped in their coiled structures and in the spaces between the individual molecules. The heat from the cooking source drives these freed liquids toward the centre of the meat. This process of coagulation explains why experienced chefs can tell how done a piece of meat is by pushing on it and judging the amount of resistance: the firmer the meat, the more done it is. But the coagulation process is apparently at least partly reversible, so as you allow the meat to rest and return to a lower temperature after cooking, some of the liquid is reabsorbed by the protein molecules as their capacity to hold moisture increases. As a result, if given a chance to rest, the meat will lose less juice when you cut into it, which in turn makes for much juicier meat. In the case of beef tenderloin, the texture of the meat also improves, becoming a bit firmer as it rests. Eight minutes for a steak, fifteen for a roast or chicken, thirty minutes for a turkey and an hour for a port butt. You don't want to lose all of those juices from that pork butt. For steaks it also allows you to have a rare steak without all the myoglobin running all over the plate and grossing out many eaters. This method's other benefit is juicier meat for sandwiches the next day instead of dried out shoe leather. As for the mustard, I was taught to apply the mustard first and then apply the rub to the meat. It helps the rub stick to the meat just like milk or buttermilk for chicken or fish. Just use a cheap generic yellow mustard for this job because you won't taste the difference. If you used something like Koslik's Grainy Creole or a grainy dijon the mustard flavour just disappears and you wasted your money.

This is a slow moving puppy, 2 knots per hour so when it does hit land, it's going to drop a lot of rain for an extended period of time. I'm not sure when you said you were looking for rain, you meant 65 mph and it staying for 48 hours. The latest forecast has it entering Louisiana and then doing a right turn and heading directly over New Orleans on Monday morning. Of course, New Orleans is already getting rain and it will continue into Tuesday. Flooding is possible with this rain maker.