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Travis In Austin

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Everything posted by Travis In Austin

  1. They partnered with two tube amp companies.
  2. The folks who are starting to receive their Model 3 are reselling their cars with a 5K to 10K "Most owners seem to be going for a $5,000 to $10,000 premium on the sticker price of a new Model 3 considering the vehicle costs between $49,000 and $59,000 under the configurations currently available. That’s already a significant premium for used vehicles, albeit they are almost new with very low mileage, but it’s also before accounting the impact of the $7,500 tax credit and the $2,500 California state incentive (depending on income eligibility) since most of those vehicles are in California. Several auctions ended without reaching the sticker price of the new car."
  3. "Efficiency" "From a technical standpoint, “efficiency” is defined as the sound power output divided by the electrical power input—but that’s not how consumers use the word. So rather than try to turn laypeople into engineers, we’ll just concentrate on sensitivity. The reason for quoting sensitivity rather than efficiency is that the true efficiency of a speaker varies wildly with frequency because of its impedance variation. The efficiency quote would be fairly meaningless, so loudspeaker engineers measure and refer to “sensitivity” instead."
  4. It's a small thing, but the term is "sensitive" or "sensativity." When comparing one speaker to another and the spl one will produce with a given power input you are referring to the sensitivity rating. http://www.klipsch.com/education/speaker-sensitivity
  5. Thanks to Lockheed. "On May 25, 1972, veteran test pilots Anthony LeVier and Charles Hall transported 115 crew members, employees, and reporters on a 4-hour, 13- minute flight from Palmdale, California, to Dulles Airport outside Washington, D.C., with the TriStar’s AFCS feature engaged from takeoff roll to landing. It was a groundbreaking moment: the first cross-country flight without the need for human hands on the controls. Fly-by-wire technology was here to stay." And so are pilots and co-pilots for the foreseeable future.
  6. Well you have never lied, about anything, in the 15 plus years I have known you. I am sure you saw it in a reputable source somewhere, it would be more a question of whether the source got it right.
  7. 0% landed without a pilot and co-pilot. I think the 3% figure is suspect as well. Cruise flight is child's play compared landing, which is why shuttle didn't land itself. And cruise flight is about 100 cubed more.complex than being able to get an A/V to drive down a straight road. The cruise flight part is probably simpler than driving down the road, the exponential complexity with a commercial passenger comes with how it deals with problems. Airspeed indicator becomes more than 5% different than back up, altimeter 1 starts higher than 2. Then you combine those problems at same time and work them all out. From there you start working your way up to bird strikes. lightening strikes, weather avoidance, power loss, engine restarts and ultimately, catastrophic failure of turbofan/fire. There isn't even the technology to automatically start a turbofan, let alone taxi a commercial passenger jet. With an A/V when there is a problem you simply program it to activate warning flashers, slow down and pull off road. You obviously cant.do that with a passenger jet. You have to take it to the very end, a.safe landing. In Computational terms it is approaching near infinity.
  8. It's 50K less 7,500 tax credit. I'm pretty sure I am right on that. The base Bolt is 25K and base S3 is 35 I don't know what the base.Bolt offers in the way of autopilot, if anything.
  9. The L1011 has technology to take off and land in the 1970s and actually did on a flight with no commercial passenvers with FAA approval. A commercial passenger.airplane actually flying with no pilot will not happen in our lifetimes. The Space Shuttle didn't even land itself. The computational power would need to be 100 cubed greater than an A/V, and the software probably 100 to the 10th and then cubed more complex. The code and algorithms for just the electrical system is probably 10 cubed more complex than an entire car. An autonomous airplane would be at least a 1000 times more complex than a space shuttle. Don't forget, on the Space Shuttle you had a commander and pilot on every flight, and 100s of people in Houston operating and monitoring it.
  10. This just arrived in my inbox. https://arstechnica.com/cars/2018/01/why-analysts-put-gm-and-waymo-far-ahead-of-tesla-in-driverless-car-race/?amp=1 Tesla is tied for 18th in a 19 car race. Waymo looks to have passed Ford. I wasn't aware that Tesla dumped it's autopilot software developer after the fatal crash and has.to start from scratch in-house, no wonder they are lagging. "Tesla is the only Silicon Valley company with significant experience manufacturing cars, so, in theory, it should be perfectly positioned to take advantage of the driverless trend. But that isn't how things have been playing out. Navigant actually ranks Tesla dead last, alongside Apple, out of 19 companies. Tesla has struggled since ditching Mobileye"
  11. You are.drinking the Kool-aid Dave, read the fine print before you lay your money down for pre-order. It's 35K base, autopilot is 6K and the 300 mile battery 9K, thats 50K where I come from.
  12. I'd settle for an autonomous bartender and a Uber driver at this point.
  13. It depends on what "self driving means." As I mentioned about 20 to 30 posts ago, after the Flordia crash and death, Elon used to talk about Levels as recognized and adopted by DOT. Up to the crash he claimed they were a certain level, after the crash he dropped it a level in his remarks and said the drive was using the vehicle as a level X car when it was a level Y. The NTSB report came out and said it was mostly driver error but Tesla was partially at fault for over selling it and not requiring periodic driver input. There is no doubt in my mind his lawyers told him to keep his mouth shut about Levels. He hasn't mentioned a level since then that I have seen and that web link to Tesla has no mention of Levels. Why? Because if you claim level 4 you have to be approved by DOT and the state you want to operate in. Only one manufacturer has applied for Level 4 approval, GM. It may even be Levsl 5. GM, or Ford, or Toyota, any one of them could put him under by price compitition because he has lost the tech advantage, and he has hit some production snags. His government subsidy in the form of a $7500 tax credit is about to run out. That.will put his S3 at 20K more than a Bolt. He is going to have to offer consumers something worth 20K, and right now it.isnt.looking like he will be offer them Level 4 sooner than GM or Ford.
  14. CES 2018 Report by Forbes. Lyft offered rides with safety driver in BMW 5 series. There is a lot going on. Chips, sensors, etc. https://www.forbes.com/sites/alanohnsman/2018/01/10/what-i-learned-about-self-driving-cars-at-ces-psst-theyre-almost-here/ Tesla wasn't there, but Mr. Toyota was.
  15. Neither is a Tesla (currently), and Bolts are still outselling Tesla 9 to 1. They are the first, and only manufacture to apply for A/V approval on roads. Limited to one City, in a hailing mode, and in a defined area. GM is ahead of Tesla on regulatory approval on true A/V and Ford is.right behind GM. Tesla isnt.even in the race yet. It's sad that they created demand for EV and then potential for A/V and they are now playing catch up. .Or they amay sitting on it waiting for GM and Ford to break regulatory ground.
  16. I was.referring to all electric. (EV). I don't think anyone is outselling Bolt right now which was very surprising to me.
  17. It was $4 in Texas, truck and Suv sales plummeted, Hybrids skyrocketed. No one can quit driving, but they drive way less. Everyone was adding a fuel surcharge to their bills. People cut back on a lot. It isn't whether they will drive or not, it is consumer economics. If the govt will give you a tax credit of 7500 towards a car, and you can cut you energy bill by 100 or 200 per month in commuting costs you are going to move over to an electric AV car much quicker. $5 a gallon may be the magic number, but it would have to be phased in to have the desired effect of shifting peogle from their regular cars to EV with AV capability. They wouldn't have much trade in, the value of any vehicle without EV or AV would plumment.Meaning very limited trade in value if any.
  18. You need to get updated facts. Bolt is outselling S3 9 to 1 over last five months. That is today right now. Why? It's 10K cheaper. Unlike Tesla, GM can deliver theirs.
  19. I forgot another means to convert entire country to electric AV. You could do it in 5 years. Phase in an increase on gas tax, 50 cents per year. That would pay for tax credit, and infrastructure repair and improvements.
  20. Elon Musk is at about car 2000 of over 200,000 pre-ordered. He has to pump out a lot more (what's the number 500,000 a year) to break even. His car with auto pilot and 300 mile battery costs 50K. (The extended range option from 200 miles to 300+ is 9K). He can't do it quick enough. There are 50 million cars that commute daily. That doesn't include work trucks, delivery, and motor freight. He is a good way off, along with the stockholders of that company, in making any profits. It looks like GM is first to seek licensure. It will start to accelerate once you get them on the road and available to public. I'm not sure when the savings will kick in. 2,000 in insurance savings a year (assuming that is the savings) isn't going to create long lines at auto dealers if it costs 50K. As I said about 30 or 40 pages ago, in order to see rapid growth in AV sales and usage by the typical consumer, it is going to require a tax credit by Congress. That is what caused an explosion in Prius sales. For business it will be allowing a 179 deduction for purchase or lease of AVs as opposed to having to depreciate them. But they have to be available first. Maybe a Bolt will be available in 2019 and legal to drive (operate) in multiple states, with Ford right behind. They can tool up and pump out the cars. GM'S ability to mass produced cars will allow them to offer a much cheaper alternative to the Tesla. If that's the case, Tesla will be forced into the mid-range to luxury market where they have been an exclusive player for electric vehicles. If Audi comes on line at the time that Tesla is ready to deliver it is going to be very competitive in that market segment. It will be very interesting to see that all unfold. We shall see.
  21. Someone already did that: First Edgar Vilchur and Henry Kross Then Dr. Anwar Bose
  22. Yes with audio. But with medicine the analogy doesn't hold. That automation bias is a bummer isn't it?
  23. It is a fundamental in being able to design and implement tests involving audio products.
  24. No, in a couple of years you will be able to go to a designated test city and bring a bong (if the test city is in CA or CO), and beer and whisky, you will be able to hail it and have it take it where you want to go. (I don't know if Chevy Bolt's have a back seat to take a nap in). Once they get data from that then they can go to next approval level and then sell you one. In the meantime, Congress has to pass legislation to preempt state regulation of AV's so that one standard emerges for highway approval and then they will start selling them to you and me so then we can smoke a bong, drink a beer and take a nap in the back while it drives us to where we want to go.
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