polizzio
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Posts posted by polizzio
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Just now, Jeffrey D. Medwin said:
Polizzio, you haven't figured it out yet !! I said " at the bottom" there is a gap to fill 62-66 bucks.
No one knows where / when this bottom will be. It will not be on the fourth day down.
So in your infinite wisdom and being a self professed pro trader, should any investor 100% short his entire portfolio?
Is this what you advocate I do right now? My best move?
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2 minutes ago, Jeff Matthews said:
There's no need to start getting nasty. You all did that to him last time. The locks come when you all get nasty.
this is not nasty, its simply the facts. I challenge anyone to find a post by myself where I indicated I was bullish on this market. Facts are facts. Where is his $66 a share AAPL prediction?
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2 minutes ago, CECAA850 said:
You predicted a correction that week which never happened. You never predicted a market reaction to a virus. I think this falls under "even a blind squirrel finds a nut occasionally" category.
Absolutely. TY Carl.
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17 minutes ago, Jeffrey D. Medwin said:
My advice was met with disbelief and derision, to the point that the Forum powers that be, elected, after the gap-down day, to lock that thread.
When I divulged I was 100% short the market, here was one Bull's reaction :
That quote below yours was my quote, and I still stand by it. Any investor (especially a self proclaimed professional trader/advisor) who advocates 100% anything concerning their personal portfolio or advocates to others is straight up crazy. You also made the prediction Apple stock would be trading @ $66 a share in the coming days. Your original post/thread which was deleted and you were locked out of originated 2 or 3 weeks ago.
Find any post of mine where I indicate I am a market bull as you state above. Any post of mine in the last month. Post a quote. Evidently you have now resorted to creating "facts" to support your earlier rants.
You were locked out of your own thread because you were giving unsound or questionable advice which could cause great harm to a less experienced investor. Mods determined your posts were perhaps a threat to an unsuspecting reader here.
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14 minutes ago, Arrow#422 said:
Can I order up another 6,000 point decline so I can just pile my chips into the market all at once?
The recent run-up was a farce, correction was NEEDED.
In my opinion, this sequence of events will allow for great opportunities to BUY.
Absolutely. I'm waiting for a grand opportunity. Dow @ 19,000 would make me very happy. The real trick is to identify a bottom, or close to it.
I made 200-300 thousand gain easy after the late 2008 debacle. I had moved to 95% cash with int beforehand in my 401k. I did really well in 2009 and 2010.
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1 minute ago, Edgar said:
I already have the albums. Many of them are not available in digital form.
Well that sir is an excellent reason to convert. Nothing to lose for sure.
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Down 630 right now...there is no escaping the drama. But hey if your strategy is to turn up the music, ignore the obvious, and party on.....then so be it. Light up a doob while ur at it
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24 minutes ago, Edgar said:
Nowadays I plan to digitize my vinyl as I play it, and edit the file in the computer to remove clicks and pops. Then never play the vinyl again.
At least, that's the plan. Haven't got around to actually doing it, yet, though everything I need is in place.
I'd think about that plan. Vinyl albums are compressed from the start, maybe 60-70db S/N ratio at best. Then to convert to digital and edit out pops and clicks will remove actual music content too. Better to purchase HQ digital files from the start for one's library. Right now I can purchase a music cd off ebay way less than the flac file from supply vendors, then rip cd on my desktop pc to flac or wav file. Users are abandoning cds and cd players like mad. Least a music cd has a s/n ratio of 90+ and zero audible noise.
HQ digital music file playback is light years better than any vinyl album. Maybe keep the album collection when u r feeling really nostalgic. Not to mention many of the old recordings to vinyl just plain suck. 60 year old recording technology and mixing ability. Even best quality (320 kbs) mp3 files sound way better than vinyl. Its just the reality of recording and mix improvements.
I just picked up a Natalie Cole cd, then ripped to flac. No album ever created sounded this good.........not even close.
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10 hours ago, Noisebleed said:
With the coronavirus scare she's gonna drop.
Plenty blood @ opening this morning. American markets opened Dow down 500. Lots of selling. American Airlines opened the day down 10%. Major airlines are getting spanked big time.
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4 hours ago, oldtimer said:
Just wait til it hits the schools in the US, then shared at home with all family members. Even our fearless leader cannot stop that.
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10 minutes ago, USNRET said:
I have since swapped out those subs for two SVS PB-4000s
Wow, you must have some serious thunder for sure!
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2 minutes ago, DTO said:
Well damn that’s sexy!
↑ Got to like a menage a' trois!
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I purchased the Indian Rosewood CW3 specials new at a really good price back in April or May 2019. I employ them for mostly 2 channel music reproduction but also have them wired to a Yammy AVR for bluray movies and tv broadcast audio (just finished watching last night's "The Voice" auditions dvr recording) sometimes. Also have a SVS SB-3000 sub in the mix for BR movies too. For action and music bluray playback it is a very powerful combo. Live Die Repeat BR you think you are on the beach with Tom Cruise, the V-22 aircraft, and those monsters. The opening extreme LF pulses which gives some systems/speakers fits........no problem here.
Or the live concert scenes from A Star is Born bluray.....awesome.
They may not be regarded as the best or shear favorite Heritage but I really like my CW3 for both duties. I don't play my music over maybe 90-95 db music peaks on a sound meter (modest in room levels really). Their power efficiency and ability to reproduce down to 30hz without a sub. And the rosewood specials are simply gorgeous with the silver metallic grill cloth. Drawback......that 25.5" width but oh well, I made it work. I wanted a PWK designed loudspeaker actually made in America (in production since 1959 off and on actually) with big 15" LF transducers.
yeah WAF is probably a problem. She'll get over it.
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To add contrast vs AAPL performance, Amazon stock price currently $2003 per share. Its PE = 87....pretty stratospheric. Amazon's net profit margin is 4% vs AAPL of 21%. Amazon total revenue for 2019 was 280 billion dollars. AAPL = 260 billion 2019 tot rev.
I'm sure Jeff Bezos appreciates investor's buzz for his brainchild. Bezos net worth even after his recent divorce = 124 billion dollars.
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1 minute ago, Jeff Matthews said:
Lots of money looking for returns.
No doubt. When u r retired and can no longer connect the dots, you act out of desperation sometimes. Or Tom Selleck's reverse mortgage.
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9 hours ago, Jeffrey D. Medwin said:
We just experienced a price GAP, on the Dow Jones Chart , and ............in the Down Direction.
The difference between 2020 and 1929, is that we are over - valued on a Price VS Earnings ratio, by about 50 percent more in 2020, than in 1929 ( see " D. Short Investment Advisers " web site, Jill Mislinsky's columns ),............ In 2020 Jill says we are in the 100th Percentile of 1871 - 2020 in stock valuations.
Note above circled data, on that ONLY other GAP DOWN in market history. Dow Jones eventually dropped 84% in its value. Draw your own conclusions. Above is just the facts.
Things certainly change in 90 years, but the ONE common denominator is : it is PEOPLE buying and selling to psychological extremes of human greed and then human fear.
Jeffrey Medwin
I actually agree with Jeff's assessment above. If you plot the Dow Jones performance for the last 45 years, what actually accounts for the massive runup in the last 25 or so years?
It sure is not stock fundamentals. Pure greed, after interest rates declined to lows, people want returns, they want to get rich/gain wealth long term. So they invest in the market. Interest rates so low many retired folks could not connect the dots on cds and their rate of returns.
1993 = DJ of ~ 5600. Massive runup in the 90s and beyond until today. Look at the plot. PEs don't mean anything, fundamentals don't mean much. Plot share prices of Netflix, Amazon, Tesla to name a few. Study their current valuations, PE, and multi year financials and balance sheets.
Apple is warranted, study its ROCE and financials. A money printing/revenue generating enterprise. Too late to get on the explosion, AAPL split 1 for 7 in 2014, plus another 3 or 4 times value growth. A $50,000 investment in AAPL stock Jan 2014 = 500 or 600,000 dollars valuation today easy. Nobody out there matches AAPL 21% net return on income generated. Nobody!
House of cards really, coupled with a massive, growing, and cancerous national debt level. What could possibly go wrong?
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44 minutes ago, Deang said:
He did measure the equally inexpensive Pioneers, which came out much better. Based on measurements alone, I would buy the Pioneers.
Designed by Andrew Jones. Same guy who designed my Elac Debut 6.2 which i collectively own two pairs purchased on sale. My desktop speakers powered by a really nice low cost chinese amp. Jones knows his stuff for sure!
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37 minutes ago, wvu80 said:
In West Virginia we call those coal fired cars.
I find humor in that for sure. Let me preface this by stating I believe electric powered vehicles are our future. But right now if you google what is used to generate our electrical power, maybe 25% is renewable power source like hydro, wind or solar. So I buy a new Tesla lets say, but when I plug that baby in at night or at a Supercharger station on the road while travelling, more likely than not, natural gas or coal was burned to generate that electrical power. Most likely natural gas burned to generate electricity, the number 1 power source in the US today.
But we have to start somewhere. Unless you have a huge solar array at home and a massive battery bank to store power to recharge your electric car, fossil fuels are being consumed to create electricity. Batteries are expensive, why so few residential solar panel users own or employ them for power storage. I worked in a large new oil refinery and we spent millions on storage batteries (UPS systems), substations full of them. So we could manipulate control valves and see our instrumentation/input in a total power failure. Least for an hour or two. Been there done that years ago.
Electric vehicles are our future long term. Tesla is working on electric 18 wheeler "over the road" tractors. Think about the massive LiPo batteries needed to store power to move an 18 wheeler tractor, and its trailer full of product. And for a meaningful distance between recharges.
Electrical power sources in the US today: https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/electricity/electricity-in-the-us.php
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6 minutes ago, Badger_Erich said:
My comment was more of "why go to that effort?" for a $200 speaker. Not the testing method itself.
And i agree with you on that. Actually they can be had new right now @ amazon for $138 a pair shipped, on sale. You read the comment stream on his thread, it makes one wonder if it wasn't set up to assail Klipsch. He could have chosen something other than a really low budget bookshelf speaker. Would have been great is he did testing/review on the RP-280F or the new Heresy IV. Or even the moderate cost RP-160M bookshelf.
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26 minutes ago, Badger_Erich said:
Your comment is straight on. Talk about overkill for testing a $200 speaker eh? On the other hand, I have read some interesting articles on that site and others that are more science and data oriented. One of those regarded USB cables and testing of the variety of USB audio cables out there. In a nutshell, there are many who are paying far more for a USB audio cable than they need too, and they showed the science behind it. I'm a data kinda guy. I also trust my own ears (which at my age are nowhere near as accurate as they were in my teens) and spending wisely is a necessity now as I reach retirement. I will never own a pair of $6000+ speakers nor will I run out buy something that is a bargain big box speaker. Got to keep things in perspective I guess.
Read your first two sentences. The audio reproduction testing should be the same (standardized) for a $100 speaker or a $10,000 speaker. Testing reveals how accurately a specific loudspeaker reproduces a given input signal or signals (and its distortion levels which is really important). In the end one should judge the speaker on its test data results and end cost. And a personal audition hopefully.
It is not a linear cost vs reward in home audio loudspeakers. After a certain level, you pay really large increases for relatively small gains imo.
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4 minutes ago, tigerwoodKhorns said:
The Camry has been good, the OP should buy another. I love Toyota products.
Agreed. Those Mexicans don't buy old Toys and tow them thru south Louisiana and TX (convoys sometimes) to Mexico for nothing. Toyota sales and reliability stats speak for themselves.
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7 minutes ago, usnret70-90 said:
Thank you very much for replying and helping me out. I am amazed by all the members on this site who really seem to be very friendly and always willing to help a fellow member. You have made my day!
Carl (CECAA850) is first class. He might have been a Navy man in another life
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4 minutes ago, tigerwoodKhorns said:
Forget about protecting the environment if that is offensive to you and test drive an electric car. They are a game changer. My friend said it cost him 14 cents to drive 20 miles (actually nothing because he has solar power).
How about initial purchase price and maintenance costs broken down per mile of operation/ownership? There isn't a car out there that costs the owner zero per mile to operate, unless you really suck at basic math.
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8' individual runs you would be well served with 12 or 14 AWG.
My McIntosh Labs amp manual states 16 AWG is good for < 50 foot run, 8 ohm speaker load and 150 wpc max. People go beserker on speaker wire.
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Where are the stock markets headed over the next 6 months?
in Lounge
Posted
He posted his credentials in his original "the market will drop 40%" thread, the one he was banned from. The one with his opening $66 a share AAPL prediction. Stated he was a trained pro market trader years ago.
You seem to have issues with the truth, with the facts. Why is this?