Yeah, it's kinda far out. There can be a front that affects it that hasn't even formed yet. There's a lot of science to it, but anything farther than 5 days out is really anyones guess. My ears don't perk up till they hit the Gulf. They're interesting to track though. My area has been hit pretty good lately so I went back and looked at projected paths vs actual storm tracks for the ones that have hit here. It seems that the projected landfall isn't really very accurate outside of 36 hours. From 36 hours pre-landfall you can see the projected path and be fairly certain that you're seeing what's going to happen. Normally if my area is in the center of the "cone of death" when the storm is 5 days out, I can be pretty confident that it's not coming here.