It doesn't seem unreasonable that, given the huge increase of reported cases (nearing 850,000/day) combined with the drastic shortage of 'official' testing, the daily case numbers might be low. On top of that, it is being reported that the at-home test results are not being counted, and surely there are asymptomatic people not being tested. Estimates are merely guesses, even when educated ones, but I doubt anything 'sinister' is happening here by association. My opinions, of course.