Groomlakearea51 Posted August 31, 2011 Author Share Posted August 31, 2011 The big picture..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted August 31, 2011 Author Share Posted August 31, 2011 The stats.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted August 31, 2011 Author Share Posted August 31, 2011 Points of origin. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted August 31, 2011 Author Share Posted August 31, 2011 Points of origin.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted August 31, 2011 Author Share Posted August 31, 2011 Points of origin... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted August 31, 2011 Author Share Posted August 31, 2011 These graphics include storm data (for the Atlantic) since 1851 through 2009. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallette Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Well, using my Texas and Indian heritage combined, here's my thoughts and hopes for the next few days for Seabrook. As I mentioned a week or so ago, I can see that the current pattern is breaking. Further, I am going to suggest that there is a better than even chance of at least a low, if not a TD, developing in our NTD future. An Irene would be quite welcome here, especially if it hung around. Should my prediction materialize, hanging around is also not out of the question as there isn't much going on to replace the high. 100 again today, however. Perhaps you more globally savvy guys might be able to suggest the implications for Katia. Her vector is certainly typical of the mid-September storms that have entered the GOM. Dave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CECAA850 Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 For the untrained and uneducated eye (mine) it appears that Katia will steer clear of the Gulf. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallette Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 For the untrained and uneducated eye (mine) it appears that Katia will steer clear of the Gulf. Didn't say our shield pattern was gone, just showing signs of change. May not be soon enough to affect Katia...even assuming it is underway now, just is just my own untrained and uneducated guess. However, if it DID break down in the next 36 hours it MIGHT have an effect. And, of course, a Hong Kong audiophile might play some Schoenberg at the right time and it falls appart. [] See "Dirk Gently's Holistic Detective Agency" for reference. Dave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CECAA850 Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 If the disturbance below the Yucatan would develope, the low pressure might suck Katia this way. Big "if" though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Invidiosulus Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 For the untrained and uneducated eye (mine) it appears that Katia will steer clear of the Gulf. Didn't say our shield pattern was gone, just showing signs of change. May not be soon enough to affect Katia...even assuming it is underway now, just is just my own untrained and uneducated guess. However, if it DID break down in the next 36 hours it MIGHT have an effect. And, of course, a Hong Kong audiophile might play some Schoenberg at the right time and it falls appart. See "Dirk Gently's Holistic Detective Agency" for reference. Dave But have you cleaned out your fridge? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallette Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 But have you cleaned out your fridge? No sir. Don't want to be responsible for "the big one" on the west coast. Dave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT FAN Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Here are some incredible photos from Hurricaine Irene courtesy of the Daily Mail: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2031635/Hurricane-Irene-New-York-town-Prattsville-nearly-wiped-flooding.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CECAA850 Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 The disturbance at the Yucatan Peninsula seems to be trying to gather itself. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jay481985 Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Mallette here is to that thunderstorm forming in the Gulf to head over to Texas. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators dtel Posted August 31, 2011 Moderators Share Posted August 31, 2011 Here are some incredible photos from Hurricaine Irene courtesy of the Daily Mail: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2031635/Hurricane-Irene-New-York-town-Prattsville-nearly-wiped-flooding.html Hate to see that, the sad part is many of the deaths could have easily been avoided. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jay481985 Posted August 31, 2011 Share Posted August 31, 2011 Dtel, what's worse is http://www.burlingtonfreepress.com/article/20110830/NEWS02/110830022/ Pockets of New Jersey is bad as well, I went by the ol fishing spot to see if it was still there, the road was cut off. I think the river is triple the normal height, It was touching the bottom of tree's leaves. Our place was alright for the fact that we live on a hill and I prepared the house in advance to the storm by digging trenches for the water to route around the house. Down in the next town over their downtown was 3 feet in water Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators dtel's wife Posted August 31, 2011 Moderators Share Posted August 31, 2011 Looks like Dave was correct. The low in the southeastern Gulf of Mexico seems to be gaining strength and the high that has been protecting us is breaking down. NHC and local weather "authorities" are predicing 2-10 inches of rain in our forecast area. Dave I hope some of the rain comes your way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted September 1, 2011 Author Share Posted September 1, 2011 Yah.... the individual track models (look at the gray colored ones) north or north east which does not help the Texas/ Oklahoma drought problem.... The "ensemble" models (BAM, GFDL, UKMET, HWRF, etc.) are having problems because the storm is not organized enough to trigger consensus models. That will change by tonight. At the least, much of the Gulf coast will likely get rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted September 1, 2011 Author Share Posted September 1, 2011 So far so good on Katia. But then again that's what the guy who jumped out of an airplane without a parachute said, all the way down.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.