Dflip Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 The projected storm path for Storm 95 (Maria). A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD SURFACE LOWPRESSURE SYSTEM...IS LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME MUCH BETTERORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND ENVIRONMENTALCONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICALDEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS AHIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURINGTHE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ATABOUT 15 MPH. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators dtel Posted September 5, 2011 Moderators Share Posted September 5, 2011 It rained here ALL day today. You can just hear the ground say aaaaaaaah. So far since the rain started here Friday afternoon for TS Lee, I've registered 15" inches in my backyard rain gauge.......... and the rain is supposed to continue through sometime Monday . . . We only had 9.75" start to finish, could have spared the other 9" and sent it to TX. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigStewMan Posted September 5, 2011 Share Posted September 5, 2011 It rained here ALL day today. You can just hear the ground say aaaaaaaah. So far since the rain started here Friday afternoon for TS Lee, I've registered 15" inches in my backyard rain gauge.......... and the rain is supposed to continue through sometime Monday . . . We only had 9.75" start to finish, could have spared the other 9" and sent it to TX. No rain. No rain gauge. No backyard. Hope it eases up for you folks getting hammered. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sunburnwilly Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 A pic from Irene . We got surf , erosion and a bit of yard debris . Sorry for what you folks in the North East encountered . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CECAA850 Posted September 7, 2011 Share Posted September 7, 2011 What's up with that area to the north west of the Yucatan? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CECAA850 Posted September 8, 2011 Share Posted September 8, 2011 What's up with that area to the north west of the Yucatan? It looks like it's now named Nate. It also looks like Mike in Corpus may get something from this one. If not a hit, at least he'll be on the wet side of it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CECAA850 Posted September 10, 2011 Share Posted September 10, 2011 It's official, Nate is a non issue for the US. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted September 11, 2011 Author Share Posted September 11, 2011 Active season, but Maria is also headed off to the Arctic as well. But...... the season is not over and storms that could get into the Gulf can still happen. You want a nice average TS with 6-8" of rain. NOT a Cat-3 hurricane, though.... [H] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallette Posted September 11, 2011 Share Posted September 11, 2011 Marshall, THINK. A cat 3 into our part of Texas right now would stop more damage than it could possibly cause. We've lost over a thousand homes north of Houston alone and the damage to our trees, crops, water system, etc from this drought is catastrophic. I'll take it. We can handle it. Granted, I'd rather the eye pass a few miles north of Galveston city...but we'll take our chances. Dave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted September 12, 2011 Author Share Posted September 12, 2011 I shall start burning the candles, throwing the bones, hiring more dancing zombie voodoo women, and shift the HAARP antenna array. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High_Frequency_Active_Auroral_Research_Program But if you find yourself floating out to sea on 20" of rain next week, don't blame me!! [6] [H] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallette Posted September 12, 2011 Share Posted September 12, 2011 But if you find yourself floating out to sea on 20" of rain next week, don't blame me!! Deal. Turns out 20" is what we need just to catch up. Dave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
germerikan Posted September 12, 2011 Share Posted September 12, 2011 This might also help!!! How to Perform a Native American Rain Dance 1 Wear turquoise and feathers, if you have any. Many Native American tribes associate turquoise with rain and feathers with the wind. Put on any turquoise-colored clothing that you may have and turquoise jewelry. If you have access to any bird or decorative feathers, place a couple in your hair or secure them to a hat and wear them during the rain dance. 2 Find an outdoor space where you have plenty of room to move around. Choose a space that has sparse or no tree cover so that you have a clear view of the sky. The terrain of the space you choose should be relatively flat, which will make it easier to perform the rain dance. 3 Spin around in circles. Begin spinning clockwise at a slow and steady pace. Chant your own simple rain chant as you spin. Your chant can be something as simple as the word "rain" repeated over and over or an entire phrase, such as "Come down rain." Raise your hands to the sky occasionally to urge the rain to fall. 4 Speed up your spinning and chanting. The longer you spin and chant the faster you should spin and chant. Close your eyes as you dance and breathe in deeply between chants. When you want to end the dance, drop to your knees in silence. Stay on your knees until any dizziness you feel goes away and you can regain your balance. Taken from http://www.ehow.com/how_5722524_perform-native-american-rain-dance.html This will appease the rain spirits and keep the hurricanes at bay!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willland Posted September 12, 2011 Share Posted September 12, 2011 Marshall, THINK. A cat 3 into our part of Texas right now would stop more damage than it could possibly cause. I'll take it. We can handle it. Dave you don't want or need a Cat 3 hurricane but a good rain dumping tropical storm can do the trick. Even a tropical depression can dump 20 inches of rain. When 2004's Hurricane Charley entered through Punta Gorda and the eye passed near my house in Poinciana, we got 115++ mph winds and only about 4 inches of rain the whole day. Charley was still a Cat 2 when it hit us 110 miles inland from first landfall. Lots of damage on the eastern flank of the storm. The western flank only saw about 75 to 85 mph due to the subtraction of the forward speed of the storm. Not much of a rainmaker in Central Florida when Charley was traveling so fast at about 15mph. This storm did so much damage because of the windspeed and the speed at which it traveled. Torrential rains was not an issue. What you want is a slow lumbering wide TS to dump to the rain you need with not much wind damage. Bill. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallette Posted September 13, 2011 Share Posted September 13, 2011 What you want is a slow lumbering wide TS to dump to the rain you need with not much wind damage. Since I wrote last, another 500 homes have been burned. i clocked 153 mph winds at my home during Ike. As long as it comes with rain we are NOT going to be choosy. 'Tis an ill wind indeed that blows nobody good! Dave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted September 18, 2011 Author Share Posted September 18, 2011 Ok.... late September and it gets interesting..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted September 18, 2011 Author Share Posted September 18, 2011 1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted September 18, 2011 Author Share Posted September 18, 2011 #1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted September 18, 2011 Author Share Posted September 18, 2011 2. AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING ONLY LIMITED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS UNLIKELY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted September 18, 2011 Author Share Posted September 18, 2011 #2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Groomlakearea51 Posted September 18, 2011 Author Share Posted September 18, 2011 3. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED ABOUT 1250 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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