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About dwilawyer

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    Klipsch Fanatic
  • Birthday August 17

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    Austin, Texas

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  1. Poll & Prediction: Autonomous Car Equipment at 5k by 2019

    It was $4 in Texas, truck and Suv sales plummeted, Hybrids skyrocketed. No one can quit driving, but they drive way less. Everyone was adding a fuel surcharge to their bills. People cut back on a lot. It isn't whether they will drive or not, it is consumer economics. If the govt will give you a tax credit of 7500 towards a car, and you can cut you energy bill by 100 or 200 per month in commuting costs you are going to move over to an electric AV car much quicker. $5 a gallon may be the magic number, but it would have to be phased in to have the desired effect of shifting peogle from their regular cars to EV with AV capability. They wouldn't have much trade in, the value of any vehicle without EV or AV would plumment.Meaning very limited trade in value if any.
  2. Poll & Prediction: Autonomous Car Equipment at 5k by 2019

    You need to get updated facts. Bolt is outselling S3 9 to 1 over last five months. That is today right now. Why? It's 10K cheaper. Unlike Tesla, GM can deliver theirs.
  3. Martinis

    Of the Bourbon variety
  4. Poll & Prediction: Autonomous Car Equipment at 5k by 2019

    I forgot another means to convert entire country to electric AV. You could do it in 5 years. Phase in an increase on gas tax, 50 cents per year. That would pay for tax credit, and infrastructure repair and improvements.
  5. Poll & Prediction: Autonomous Car Equipment at 5k by 2019

    Elon Musk is at about car 2000 of over 200,000 pre-ordered. He has to pump out a lot more (what's the number 500,000 a year) to break even. His car with auto pilot and 300 mile battery costs 50K. (The extended range option from 200 miles to 300+ is 9K). He can't do it quick enough. There are 50 million cars that commute daily. That doesn't include work trucks, delivery, and motor freight. He is a good way off, along with the stockholders of that company, in making any profits. It looks like GM is first to seek licensure. It will start to accelerate once you get them on the road and available to public. I'm not sure when the savings will kick in. 2,000 in insurance savings a year (assuming that is the savings) isn't going to create long lines at auto dealers if it costs 50K. As I said about 30 or 40 pages ago, in order to see rapid growth in AV sales and usage by the typical consumer, it is going to require a tax credit by Congress. That is what caused an explosion in Prius sales. For business it will be allowing a 179 deduction for purchase or lease of AVs as opposed to having to depreciate them. But they have to be available first. Maybe a Bolt will be available in 2019 and legal to drive (operate) in multiple states, with Ford right behind. They can tool up and pump out the cars. GM'S ability to mass produced cars will allow them to offer a much cheaper alternative to the Tesla. If that's the case, Tesla will be forced into the mid-range to luxury market where they have been an exclusive player for electric vehicles. If Audi comes on line at the time that Tesla is ready to deliver it is going to be very competitive in that market segment. It will be very interesting to see that all unfold. We shall see.
  6. Poll & Prediction: Autonomous Car Equipment at 5k by 2019

    Someone already did that: First Edgar Vilchur and Henry Kross Then Dr. Anwar Bose
  7. They didn't plug it into the wall.
  8. Poll & Prediction: Autonomous Car Equipment at 5k by 2019

    Yes with audio. But with medicine the analogy doesn't hold. That automation bias is a bummer isn't it?
  9. Poll & Prediction: Autonomous Car Equipment at 5k by 2019

    It is a fundamental in being able to design and implement tests involving audio products.
  10. Poll & Prediction: Autonomous Car Equipment at 5k by 2019

    No, in a couple of years you will be able to go to a designated test city and bring a bong (if the test city is in CA or CO), and beer and whisky, you will be able to hail it and have it take it where you want to go. (I don't know if Chevy Bolt's have a back seat to take a nap in). Once they get data from that then they can go to next approval level and then sell you one. In the meantime, Congress has to pass legislation to preempt state regulation of AV's so that one standard emerges for highway approval and then they will start selling them to you and me so then we can smoke a bong, drink a beer and take a nap in the back while it drives us to where we want to go.
  11. Martinis

    I have a new supplier, I'm bringing something even rarer this year.
  12. Another RIP

    The publicist was quoting her family in Ireland.
  13. Another RIP

    "Suddenly" in a Catholic country, involving a Irish Catholic girl usually only means one thing. So very sad.
  14. Another RIP

  15. Poll & Prediction: Autonomous Car Equipment at 5k by 2019

    Roadway funding in budgeted as much as 10 years out, so you won't see savings in near term. Nor will you see savings in repairs and rebuilding, which will stay the same and then increase because the theory is that instead of having to build new roads, or expand them, you can get more cars on the same road without compromising speed with AV cars. However that assumes that a majority of vehicles on a particular freeway are all true AV. Once you are running more vehicles over same road because of efficiency than repair and maintenance will go up. But certainly cheaper than new construction or expansion of roads.