Mallette Posted August 26, 2012 Author Share Posted August 26, 2012 Well, it would would be fascinating if it jogged west enough to affect Galveston given the name of the storm... Looks like there's a significant chance New Orlean's revamped defenses may be given a trial. Dave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Richard Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 I just got a tank of gas, a bottle of Macallan, and a jar of peanut butter. Good to go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallette Posted August 26, 2012 Author Share Posted August 26, 2012 I just got a tank of gas, a bottle of Macallan, and a jar of peanut butter. Good to go. Yeah, that's pretty much everything one needs for the better life... Dave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhoak Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 I just got a tank of gas, a bottle of Macallan, and a jar of peanut butter. Good to go. Do you have something to put the peanut butter on or are we talking out of the jar with a spoon? Smooth or chunky? Do you have a jar of marshmellow creme? A half tablespoon peanut butter with a half tablespoon of marshmellow cream is a yummy treat Yesterday I topped off the tank in the car, bought 4 bags of ice and 3 24-packs of beer. I generally keep enough canned and dried foods here to keep my belly full for a month or so. I won't starve. Other prep tips... If you have a gas grill make sure that you have a full tank of propane. A full spare tank is a good idea too. If you're a charcoal guy have a couple (or more) of big bags of charcoal on hand. A stockpile of paper plates, bowls, and cups is a good idea. Quite often the municipal water services go offline so washing dishes isn't an option. Speaking of lack of water... It takes 2 gallons to flush the toilet. Your average hot tub holds around 500 gallons or 250 flushes. UMMM... Yea... Ask me how I know that. In August of 2004 my house went 9 days without power and 14 days without water after Charlie. One quickly learns how to adapt in the face of adversity. I never did get the GF at the time to understand the concept of "if it's yellow let it mellow, if it's brown flush it down". I was down to sponging the remaining water out of the hot tub to flush the toilet before the county water service finally came back online. I may crack jokes about hurricanes and the aftermath but the fact is it's serious business. You don't realize how dependant you are on things like electricity, water, and the local grocery until they're not available. Good luck and above all be safe to all who are in the path of this storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators dtel Posted August 26, 2012 Moderators Share Posted August 26, 2012 Looks like there's a significant chance New Orlean's revamped defenses may be given a trial. That's funny Dave, about all they did was put a new roof on the dome and updated the get out of town speech. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators dtel Posted August 26, 2012 Moderators Share Posted August 26, 2012 Well this is not any better looking, the 2 Pm Wed marker puts it right on top of us, although they tend to change it often, I hope they keep moving it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators dtel Posted August 26, 2012 Moderators Share Posted August 26, 2012 Well, it would would be fascinating if it jogged west enough to affect Galveston given the name of the storm... ? Was the storm to hit Gaveston in 1900 named Isaac ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LarryC Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Was the storm to hit Gaveston in 1900 named Isaac ? No, but Galveston's resident meterologist was. Isaac's Storm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CECAA850 Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Still ticking west. The Republicans should be happy. I've sat through 2 Hurricanes and life sans electricity aftermath. No more. I'll have electricity and an ice maker next time thanks to a natural gas generator. There's no big trees around the house and I've got a pool full of water I can use to flush the commode. I'm ready to roll. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators dtel Posted August 26, 2012 Moderators Share Posted August 26, 2012 Was the storm to hit Gaveston in 1900 named Isaac ? No, but Galveston's resident meterologist was. Isaac's Storm OK, I see now, thanks, I read about the storm but didn't remember, a name or that story. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators dtel Posted August 26, 2012 Moderators Share Posted August 26, 2012 Just realized on that track, it should hit here Wed Aug 29, the same exact day Katrina hit louisiana/Mississippi in 2005. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boxx Posted August 26, 2012 Share Posted August 26, 2012 Was the storm to hit Gaveston in 1900 named Isaac ? No, but Galveston's resident meterologist was. Isaac's Storm OK, I see now, thanks, I read about the storm but didn't remember, a name or that story. If I remember my history correctly, the National Hurricane Center did not start officially naming hurricanes until 1953. All the storms had female names until 1979, when male and female names were used interchangeably Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators dtel Posted August 27, 2012 Moderators Share Posted August 27, 2012 Your probably right Boxx. TIP:.........From Marshal (Groomlake) that I have used before. For anyone close to an area with hurricanes, contractor bags, the big heavy duty garbage bags. The fit over speakers and electronics and can "help" save things if the roof moves to another area and it rains inside. [] There pretty big, you can slip even a Cornwall in one and another bag from the top sealed with duct tape works pretty well. You can't haul everything out of town and it's cheap to at least try to save things. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallette Posted August 27, 2012 Author Share Posted August 27, 2012 The fit over speakers and electronics and can "help" save things if the roof moves to another area and it rains inside. And if it doesn't help it's already for the side of the street... [:'(] Dave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJkizak Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 Watching "This Old House" the other day about wind proofing a roof for 110 mph winds I couldn't help but wonder over the extra money spent for that, and what if the winds were 112 mph? The roof still has to be replaced. JJK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallette Posted August 27, 2012 Author Share Posted August 27, 2012 What isn't being mentioned by NOAA or others is that this is the time the high breaks up or moves off that shields Texas from these until September almost always historically. I could happen in hours, or it can be the second week or so of September. If it happens now, the storm will head straight on it will head north west from it's position when the high breaks down as there will be nothing to steer it. That is what happened in 1900 as well as several times since. Dave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderators dtel Posted August 27, 2012 Moderators Share Posted August 27, 2012 The fit over speakers and electronics and can "help" save things if the roof moves to another area and it rains inside. And if it doesn't help it's already for the side of the street... [:'(] Dave That's true, [] some lucky person going to to clean up their property might find bags of speakers that floated into the yard from somewhere else. Around the corner from my mothers house they had a extra car when the water went down, but it was on the roof so it don't really count as good luck, and a few blocks over there was a 40' boat between two houses. Things float to the strangest places, 8' of water at my mothers house, picture by M Colter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dflip Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 The last message from the National Hurricane Center. The good news is upper level winds are keeping it from strengthening for 24 hours. It may get stronger after that, but it is now projected at 90 mph and moving at 15 mph. It's a Cat 1 at the moment with potential for a Cat 2 storm surge. People on the coast might want to ensure that they're on higher ground. 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012 DATA FROM THE TAMPA AND KEY WEST DOPPLER RADARS...AND FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THE INNER CORE STRUCTURE AND INTENSITY OF ISAAC HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. A RAGGED EYE FEATURE HAS OCCASIONALLY APPEARED IN THESE DATA...BUT IT HAS BEEN UNABLE TO PERSIST. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS DECREASED TO AROUND 987-988 MB...BUT THIS HAS NOT RESULTED IN ANY INCREASE IN THE WIND SPEEDS. THE PREVIOUS INTENSITY OF 55 KT IS BEING MAINTAINED FOR THIS ADVISORY BASED ON THE RECON WIND DATA. .ISAAC MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...POSES SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE THREAT TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/12. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. THE LATEST 12Z UPPER-AIR DATA INDICATE 20-40 METER HEIGHT RISES AT THE 500 MB AND 400 MB LEVELS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S....WHICH SUGGESTS THAT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ISAAC HAS STRENGTHENED SLIGHTLY. THIS WOULD SUPPORT A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION UNTIL LANDFALL IN ABOUT 36-48 HOURS...AND THIS MOTION IS SUPPORTED BY THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS. AFTER 48 HOURS...HOWEVER... THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS WIDELY DIVERGENT WITH A SPREAD OF MORE THAN 500 N MI BETWEEN THE GFS ON THE LEFT AND THE ECMWF ON THE RIGHT. THE FORECAST TRACK AT DAYS 3-5 IS ALSO SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND LIES CLOSE TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS...BUT THIS IS A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST AT THOSE TIME PERIODS. THE LACK OF STRENGTHENING APPEARS TO TO BE DUE TO THE LARGER-THAN-AVERAGE WIND RADII...WHICH HAVE YET TO CONTRACT INWARD...ALONG WITH THE PERIODIC ENTRAINMENT OF DRY MID-LEVEL AIR FROM THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE INTO THE INNER-CORE REGION. UNTIL THE DRY AIR MIXES OUT...EROSION OF THE INNER-CORE CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE UNTIL ISAAC APPROACHES THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. AT THAT TIME...INCREASED FRICTIONAL EFFECTS FROM THE GULF COAST LAND MASS IS EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT...WHICH COULD ENABLE THE STRENGTHENING PROCESS. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND IS SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS MODEL IV15. BECAUSE SIGNIFICANT HAZARDS EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER...IT IS IMPORTANT NOT TO FOCUS ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/1500Z 26.1N 85.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 12H 28/0000Z 27.1N 86.8W 65 KT 75 MPH 24H 28/1200Z 28.3N 88.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 29/0000Z 29.3N 89.6W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 29/1200Z 30.2N 90.5W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND 72H 30/1200Z 31.9N 91.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND 96H 31/1200Z 35.2N 92.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 120H 01/1200Z 39.3N 91.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND $$ FORECASTER STEWART Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dflip Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 This version is in Explorer, the top one was Google Chrome which is pretty ugly to read, sorry. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... * SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...AND ALABAMA...6 TO 12 FT * SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...3 TO 6 FT * FLORIDA PANHANDLE...3 TO 6 FT * FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING APALACHEE BAY...1 TO 3 FT RAINFALL...ISAAC IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA...WHERE ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA... SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. It appears like it will hit the north end of the Mississippi Delta at high tide Tuesday at 8 p.m. and closer to the west end of Lake Ponchartrain at low tide Wednesday morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris A Posted August 27, 2012 Share Posted August 27, 2012 I just got a tank of gas, a bottle of Macallan, and a jar of peanut butter. Good to go.Good deal: you're probably going to need a bit more Macallan... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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