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Hurricane Season - 2008


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I always fly the flag - 24/7 - It's a tradition. Way I figure it, that flag represents ideas and a nation that's stronger than any hurricane. Little shredded up by the time it was over, but it flew through the day and the night. It's now "retired" and joins the other 4 flags from previous hurricanes that passed over the building.

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Storm surge.... The end of the boat ramp is down at the end of the ramp. The level is at least 4' above normal.

Truer words were never spoken my beseiged friend. LOL

Time for a little shut-eye there Groomster. Good to see you back on board though.

Note to self: avoid Groomy's place during storm season. I think I was there right after last year in Sept. Great trip.

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Glad to see y'all are OK, and you are back, I am jealous, most people are not allowed to ride around during a storm, the police will run them off, or give them a nice steel cage room for the night. [:(]

Send it this way, Florida has it worn down enough where there will be nothing left when it gets here ! Although this storm was a little different, it was " reported " to have intensified after going on land which is not normal.

Now you can rest,.......... with one eye open to the south east, for a couple more months.

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Naps are good. I got one this afternoon. Glad you came out ok, Fay had been parked about 5 miles east of us, most of the day, but finally moved a little up the coast. Still windy and raining here, 9 or 10 inches so far. Look out Dtel, it may be headed your way.

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I is a 7000 lb Dodge diesel truck.... Like riding in the subway... lotsa noise, some rocking, but overall great ride...

Sounds Like your describing a girl we all knew in High School [6][6][6]

Glad you made it through OK......Ever think what are the chances of having 4 eye-walls pass directly overhead in 2 years??? What other experiments you got going on in your Laboratory besides Klipshorns???? Secret E.T. stuff??? I always knew that "Marine Officer" was just some kind of elaborate coverup....I know, you've built a Flux Capacitor!

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Update: Was in Live Oak at 5:30 PM with small squally[:'(] intermittent gusts and rain. Will be (maybe) heading into the area tommorow depending upon my situation. Meanwhile it is headed in our direction generally speaking south ofTallahassee (Quincy) at 5mph? Wakulla Springs, where old movies were shot(The Creature). Should be rain event with gusts that will hit our already rainsoaked trees from this week's rain.

Should lose power, if par for the course. Will let know,lol![um]

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The NOAA people are more or less saying, ( Dude we don't know where it's going ? ) [8-)]

000
WTNT41 KNHC 220300
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
1100 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

FAY HAS STILL REFUSED TO DECIDEDLY BEGIN MOVING WESTWARD AS WE AND
THE MODELS HAVE BEEN FORECASTING...BUT IT APPEARS TO BE DRIFTING
WESTWARD...WITH THE CENTER LOCATED JUST INLAND FROM THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST. THE OVERALL APPEARANCE IN RADAR IMAGERY HAS
DEGRADED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT WSR-88D
VELOCITIES SUGGEST THAT SURFACE WINDS OVER WATER TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST OF THE CENTER REMAIN AS STRONG AS ABOUT 50 KT...ALTHOUGH THAT
RADAR FEATURE HAS BEEN STEADILY SHRINKING.

EVEN THOUGH WE SAID THIS LAST NIGHT...AND IT DID NOT HAPPEN...ALL OF
THE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT FAY SHOULD START TRULY MOVING
WESTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AS A MID-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. THAT RIDGE SHOULD KEEP FAY ON
A GENERAL WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD PATH DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THE MODEL CONSENSUS TRACK HAS NOT CHANGED TOO MUCH SINCE THE
LAST CYCLE...SO THE OFFICIAL TRACK REMAINS ALONG THAT OF THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY...TAKING FAY ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST.
SOME MODELS SUCH AS THE ECMWF AND HWRF CONTINUE TO FORECAST A MORE
SOUTHERLY TRACK OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF...WHILE THE
GFS...GFDL...AND UKMET FORECAST FAY TO REMAIN INLAND OVER THE
PANHANDLE. LATER...AT 3 TO 5 DAYS...MOST OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS
ANOTHER SLOWDOWN AS RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
BLOCKS FAY'S FORWARD PROGRESS AGAIN. THE NEW OFFICIAL TRACK SHOWS
ESSENTIALLY NO MOTION BEYOND 72 HOURS.

THE EXACT TRACK COULD HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON HOW STRONG FAY IS
AFTER CROSSING THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA. IF THE MORE
SOUTHERLY TRACKS ARE CORRECT AND FAY SPENDS A GOOD BIT OF TIME
CENTERED OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF...IT COULD RESTRENGTHEN BEYOND
24 HOURS...BUT IF THE OPPOSITE OCCURS AND IT NEVER EMERGES BACK
OVER WATER...PERMANENT WEAKENING TO A DEPRESSION COULD HAPPEN
WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. SINCE THE OFFICIAL TRACK REMAINS ALONG
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST...AND USING THE INTENSITY MODEL
CONSENSUS AS GUIDANCE...THE NEW OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST KEEPS
FAY AS A BORDERLINE TROPICAL STORM THROUGH 48 HOURS...REQUIRING THE
ISSUANCE OF NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.

REGARDLESS OF ITS EXACT TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING RATHER SLOWLY
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...POSING A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLOOD HAZARD TO A VERY LARGE AREA.

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Whew, what a wild ride. Just getting back into work after being out for 3 days. Wind was not really a big deal where I live. 40 mph winds can happen regularly in an ordinary summer Florida thunderstorm. We did however break a 50 year rainfall record in this area (Melbourne). We got anywhere from 18" to 21 inches of rain in a 48 hour period depending on where you were collecting. Florida sand can absorb rain much easier than other places with hard compacted soil but 18+ inches is more than anything can handle. Although my house didn't have any damage, there's lots of houses out there that have significant water damage.

We did a little wakeboarding behind the pick-up in the street out front to help with the cabin fever. Of course that was only on the first day. By day two, nothing could pass thru the streets. It was waaaay too deep.

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Fay will certainly go down in the history books.... 26" rain in Melbourne. We got about 18" in some parts of Okeechobee County; I had about 11+" at my house and the driveway and sidewalk to the front porch were under 6" until yesterday. Fay may set the record for landfalls. (1) Key West, then (2) Naples, then (3) Daytona Beach, and could exit and hit around (4) Appalachicola, and then cross over again, and cross again at (5) Fort Walton Beach.

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Interestingly this is the 4th storm since 2004 in which the "eye wall" passed directly over me.

Living in Wilmington, NC, I've had similar experience. Between 1996 and 1999 I watched the eye of Bertha, Fran, Bonnie and Floyd pass over my house. People here joke that there is a huge bullseye at the mouth of the Cape Fear river so the storms know where to go.

Carl

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Interestingly this is the 4th storm since 2004 in which the "eye wall" passed directly over me.

Living in Wilmington, NC, I've had similar experience. Between 1996 and 1999 I watched the eye of Bertha, Fran, Bonnie and Floyd pass over my house. People here joke that there is a huge bullseye at the mouth of the Cape Fear river so the storms know where to go.

Carl

Yep , every one of those storms had Charleston in it's bullseye . Then at the last minute took a northerly turn and smacked right into Wilmington ! I believe ya'll have some topography issues .
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